UPA II: A Report Card

Outlook-MDRA Opinion Poll: 90% Babus Say Manmohan Singh Will Last Full Term

UPA II: A Report Card
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If there’s one class of people that knows pretty well how the government is performing, it’s the all-powerful bureaucrats. The babu perspective is particularly crucial in gauging a confusing first year for UPA-II, one that has seen a supercharged PMO asserting itself on key reforms on the one hand, and battling high inflation, pressure from coalition partners and a sense of disconnect with the Congress on the other. That’s why Outlook commissioned research agency MDRA to tap into the bureaucrats’ take. And the verdict on UPA-II’s first year—at 6/10—is upbeat but far from outstanding. Ally ministers—Sharad Pawar, A. Raja and Mamata Banerjee—score low on performance. In fact, pressure from allies is listed as the biggest obstacle to UPA-IIs performance, and inflation its biggest failure. Despite this, a whopping 90 per cent said Manmohan Singh would complete his second stint as prime minister.

UPA II
How would you rate the performance of the UPA-II government at the end of its first year? (1 means “extremely poor” and 10 “extremely good”)
ScorePer cent
1002.2
0901.6
0808.2
0723.5
0630.1
0518.6
0409.8
0302.2
0200.5
0103.3
Median Score6/10

Which is the biggest success in the first year of UPA-II?
Right to Education28.4
Women’s Reservation Bill25.1
Managing economic growth23.0
Foreign policy06.0
Fighting inflation02.7
NREGA01.6
Sustainability of economic growth01.1
Others01.2
None10.9

Which is the biggest failure of UPA-II?
Corruption16.9
Inflation, price rise62.3
Farmer suicides05.5
Ministerial gaffes02.7
Sellout to corporates02.2
Lack of internal security02.2
Maoist problems01.6
Women’s Reservation Bill01.1
Others05.2
None00.5

Will Manmohan Singh complete his second stint as PM?
Yes90.7
No02.7
Can't say06.6

Has UPA-II performed better or worse without Left support?
Better63.4
Same24.6
Can’t say02.2
Worse09.8

Will Sonia Gandhi's return as National Advisory Council chief help UPA-II?
Yes71.6
No19.1
Can't say09.3

If an election is held tomorrow, will you vote for UPA?
Yes57.4
No12.0
Can't say12.6
Maybe18.0

What has been the biggest obstacle to better performance in UPA-II?
Pressure of allies49.7
Lack of constructive opposition21.9
Disconnect between Congress and PM14.8
PMO setting agenda of ministries08.7
Lack of leadership02.2
Lack of policy clarity01.2
Lack of commitment00.5
Maoist problems00.5
Coalition politics00.5

Best Ministries
Which ministries have performed the best in the first year of UPA-II?
Home Affairs *23.8
Finance 21.5
HRD17.1
Defence06.6
External Affairs05.8
Commerce & Industry05.0
Rural Development03.0
Railways02.2
Health & Family Welfare02.2
Law & Justice01.9
* Most of the interviews were conducted before the second Dantewada incident

Worst Ministries
Which ministries have performed the worst in the first year of UPA-II?
Agriculture18.0
Telecom11.0
External Affairs08.7
Home Affairs07.0
Railways06.7
Finance05.9
Consumer, Food, PDS04.8
Health & Family Welfare03.7
Petroleum & Natural Gas03.7
No comments03.7

Best Minister
Who is the best minister in UPA-II?
P. Chidambaram39.9
Pranab Mukherjee26.2
Kapil Sibal14.8
A.K. Antony03.8
Manmohan Singh02.7
S.M. Krishna02.7
Anand Sharma02.2
Mamata Banerjee02.2
Murli Deora01.1
None01.6

Worst Minister
Who is the worst minister in UPA-II?
Sharad Pawar26.8
A. Raja24.0
Mamata Banerjee07.1
Jairam Ramesh05.5
S.M. Krishna03.8
Pranab Mukherjee03.8
Shashi Tharoor03.3
M.K. Azhagiri02.2
P. Chidambaram02.2
No comments08.2

Methodology:  Between May 16 and 18, 575 senior bureaucrats were approached at their residences; 183 agreed to take our questions. These are all senior officers (deputy secretary and above): about half the sample comprised IAS officers (90), followed by 50 Indian Allied Services officers, 15 from state services, 8 from the IPS, 5 from the IFS and 15 from other services. Also, 86 per cent of the respondents were male officers, and 14 per cent were female.

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