National Ceographic

Stability, speed and reforms in labour laws and infrastructure. This is what corporate India wants from the government to achieve a high growth rate, says an Outlook-CII CEO Opinion Poll. A big no-no is Leftist interference.

National Ceographic
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Opinion poll
National Ceographic
Stability, speed and reforms in labour laws and infrastructure. This is whatcorporate India wants from the government to achieve a high growth rate, says anOutlook-CII CEO Opinion Poll. A big no-no is Leftist interference.

What have been the most significant reforms that have happened in the past decade?

%

Trade liberalisation 69Financial sector reforms59Foreign direct investment44Telecom reforms44Simplification of tax system44FERA liberalisation34End of Licence Raj31Disinvestment9Lower interest rates9Power sector reforms6MRTP abolition6Less bureaucracy3Reforms in land dev./housing3

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What are the vital areas where reforms have been inadequate?
Labour laws 56
Infrastructure50
Education28
Agriculture sector reforms25
Power    25
Corruption22
Government expenditure     16
Bureaucracy16
Taxation13
Population control 9%, Privatisation 9%, Healthcare 9%,
Subsidies 6%, Land reforms 6%, Financial sector reforms 6%, Rural employment 6%, Reduce deficits 6%, Full convertibility 3%, Intellectual property rights 3%

Have economic reforms mainly helped the upper and middle classes?
Yes59
No41
“Yes. But it’s important to note that before wealth can be distributed, it must earned.”
“No. Have-nots are not depending on breadcrumbs any more.”
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Have reforms made a major dent in poverty?
Yes56
No41
“Lack of sustained commitment to reforms is what hurts the poor most.”
“Now, since wealth is being created, poverty will definitely be affected.”

How different is doing business now from how it was 10 years ago?
Easier56
Far easier38
Still difficult6
“It’s easier...but still far more difficult than any country worth comparing against.”
“The politician-bureaucrat nexus is still to get its hands out of the till.”

Could the reforms have happened far faster in the last 10 years?
Yes94
No6
“We could have achieved the same in seven years. We underperformed by 30%.”
“Considering our population and complex problems, we couldn’t have done it faster.”

Are you upbeat about the current regime?
Yes56
No25
Don't Know16
“With the Left, this regime in running a three-legged race with blindfolds.”
“This regime is running like a vehicle with brakes on while accelerating.”
What is your outlook on the Indian economy?
Excellent16
Good72
Not so bad9
Don't know3
“The Indian economy has a far greater potential, but it is performing poorly.”
“I think we can look forward to a decade of high growth and prosperity.”
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Which are the sectors that you are most confident will do well over the next decade?
IT and ITES47
Automobile and auto components   31
Tourism22
Telecom19
Textile and garments19
Steel19
Cement16
Housing12
Banking12
Pharma9
Biotech9
Aviation9
Healthcare6
Infrastructure6
Agri-based industries6
Chemicals6
Light engineering3
Insurance3
Entertainment3

Do you think a stable government is essential for high economic growth?
Yes81
No19
“No. What we need is to delink politics from economics.”
“Yes, a stable government not influenced by smaller parties is essential for growth.”
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Are you happy with a government with the Leftists as partners?
Yes28
No63
Don't Know9
“They aren’t anti-reforms per se, but want to be told before any economic moves.”
“They should visit China and learn, or live in Cuba and let us live.”
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How many Indian MNCs do you expect to see in 2015?
Less than 5016
50 to 10032
Between 101 to 50019
More than a thousand22
Don’t know13

How would your sales and profitability be different if
a) government policy is liberal reformist, and b) policy aims to appease all influencing parties?
No difference9
Up to 5% difference25
5-10% difference44
More than 10%16
Don’t know6

Would you agree to having reservations in the private sector?
No78
Yes6
Don't Know16
“We should give preferential education to economically weaker sections.”
“Industry has a responsibility to society. But compulsions won’t work.”
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What will India’s GDP growth rate be in 2015?
GDP growth rate
10%34
5%13
7-8%28
Above 10%16
DK/CS9
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Where do you see India vis-a-vis China in 2015?
China way ahead44
India not far behind China34
India on par with China6
India ahead of China6
DK/CS9
“China will be far ahead as they have a single-minded vision, no Leftist parties(!).”
“If we can sustain double-digit GDP growth from 2007, we’ll overtake China.”
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What in your opinion are the biggest bottlenecks to India achieving sustainable 8 per cent GDP growth every year?
Poor Infrastructure 63
Bureaucracy31
Politics31
Labour laws25
Education22
Wasteful government expenditure19
Population13
Corruption13
No thrust on R&D6
Interest rates6
Agricultural sector reforms3
Rural credit and finance3
Subsidies3
Communists3
All figures in percentage
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