IMD Cuts Monsoon Forecast to 90% Amid El Niño Fears

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IMD warns of weaker monsoon and rising heatwave risks amid emerging El Niño conditions

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IMD Cuts Monsoon Forecast to 90% Amid El Niño Fears Photo: Outlook India
Summary of this article

Monsoon rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 90% long period average (LPA) in 2026, even lower than 92% forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)  in April. The country is likely to experience above-normal heatwave days, the weather department wrote in its latest forecast.

The IMD said on May 29 that weak El Niño conditions are expected to develop in June, strengthening towards second half of the season.

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