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UPA II: A Report Card

Outlook-MDRA Opinion Poll: 90% Babus Say Manmohan Singh Will Last Full Term

UPA II: A Report Card
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If there’s one class of people that knows pretty well how the government is performing, it’s the all-powerful bureaucrats. The babu perspective is particularly crucial in gauging a confusing first year for UPA-II, one that has seen a supercharged PMO asserting itself on key reforms on the one hand, and battling high inflation, pressure from coalition partners and a sense of disconnect with the Congress on the other. That’s why Outlook commissioned research agency MDRA to tap into the bureaucrats’ take. And the verdict on UPA-II’s first year—at 6/10—is upbeat but far from outstanding. Ally ministers—Sharad Pawar, A. Raja and Mamata Banerjee—score low on performance. In fact, pressure from allies is listed as the biggest obstacle to UPA-IIs performance, and inflation its biggest failure. Despite this, a whopping 90 per cent said Manmohan Singh would complete his second stint as prime minister.

UPA II
How would you rate the performance of the UPA-II government at the end of its first year? (1 means “extremely poor” and 10 “extremely good”)
Score Per cent
10 02.2
09 01.6
08 08.2
07 23.5
06 30.1
05 18.6
04 09.8
03 02.2
02 00.5
01 03.3
Median Score 6/10

Which is the biggest success in the first year of UPA-II?
Right to Education 28.4
Women’s Reservation Bill 25.1
Managing economic growth 23.0
Foreign policy 06.0
Fighting inflation 02.7
NREGA 01.6
Sustainability of economic growth 01.1
Others 01.2
None 10.9

Which is the biggest failure of UPA-II?
Corruption 16.9
Inflation, price rise 62.3
Farmer suicides 05.5
Ministerial gaffes 02.7
Sellout to corporates 02.2
Lack of internal security 02.2
Maoist problems 01.6
Women’s Reservation Bill 01.1
Others 05.2
None 00.5

Will Manmohan Singh complete his second stint as PM?
Yes 90.7
No 02.7
Can't say 06.6

Has UPA-II performed better or worse without Left support?
Better 63.4
Same 24.6
Can’t say 02.2
Worse 09.8

Will Sonia Gandhi's return as National Advisory Council chief help UPA-II?
Yes 71.6
No 19.1
Can't say 09.3

If an election is held tomorrow, will you vote for UPA?
Yes 57.4
No 12.0
Can't say 12.6
Maybe 18.0

What has been the biggest obstacle to better performance in UPA-II?
Pressure of allies 49.7
Lack of constructive opposition 21.9
Disconnect between Congress and PM 14.8
PMO setting agenda of ministries 08.7
Lack of leadership 02.2
Lack of policy clarity 01.2
Lack of commitment 00.5
Maoist problems 00.5
Coalition politics 00.5

Best Ministries
Which ministries have performed the best in the first year of UPA-II?
Home Affairs * 23.8
Finance  21.5
HRD 17.1
Defence 06.6
External Affairs 05.8
Commerce & Industry 05.0
Rural Development 03.0
Railways 02.2
Health & Family Welfare 02.2
Law & Justice 01.9
* Most of the interviews were conducted before the second Dantewada incident

Worst Ministries
Which ministries have performed the worst in the first year of UPA-II?
Agriculture 18.0
Telecom 11.0
External Affairs 08.7
Home Affairs 07.0
Railways 06.7
Finance 05.9
Consumer, Food, PDS 04.8
Health & Family Welfare 03.7
Petroleum & Natural Gas 03.7
No comments 03.7

Best Minister
Who is the best minister in UPA-II?
P. Chidambaram 39.9
Pranab Mukherjee 26.2
Kapil Sibal 14.8
A.K. Antony 03.8
Manmohan Singh 02.7
S.M. Krishna 02.7
Anand Sharma 02.2
Mamata Banerjee 02.2
Murli Deora 01.1
None 01.6

Worst Minister
Who is the worst minister in UPA-II?
Sharad Pawar 26.8
A. Raja 24.0
Mamata Banerjee 07.1
Jairam Ramesh 05.5
S.M. Krishna 03.8
Pranab Mukherjee 03.8
Shashi Tharoor 03.3
M.K. Azhagiri 02.2
P. Chidambaram 02.2
No comments 08.2

Methodology:  Between May 16 and 18, 575 senior bureaucrats were approached at their residences; 183 agreed to take our questions. These are all senior officers (deputy secretary and above): about half the sample comprised IAS officers (90), followed by 50 Indian Allied Services officers, 15 from state services, 8 from the IPS, 5 from the IFS and 15 from other services. Also, 86 per cent of the respondents were male officers, and 14 per cent were female.

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