Outlook commissioned Gallup-Business Research Bureau to conduct the first-ever opinion survey in Pakistan by an Indian media house. Gallup-Business Research Bureau is the Pakistan affiliate of Gallup International, which operates in more than 60 countries across the globe. Established in 1980 in Pakistan, Gallup is today the market leader in media audience research, household consumer panels, third party evaluation studies and opinion polls. It is a member of ESOMAR, the world’s leading association of market researchers and follows the ESOMAR code of conduct.
| Gallup-Outlook Opinion Poll In Pakistan | ||
| You see India as... | ||
| Enemy | 54 | |
| Rival | 31 | |
| Potential Friend | 15 | |
| Do you think it is necessary to resolve the Kashmir issue first for the establishment of peaceful relations between India and Pakistan? | ||
| Yes | 79 | |
| No | 19 | |
| Don’t know | 2 | |
| Would you accept converting the LoC into an international border as the only solution to the Kashmir problem? | ||
| Agree | 29 | |
| Don’t Agree | 69 | |
| Don’t know | 2 | |
| What do you think about Vajpayee’s recent peace initiative? | ||
| Serious | 26 | |
| Gimmick | 47 | |
| Don’t know | 27 | |
| Which of these political issues do you rank first in order of importance? | ||
| Fundamentalism | 17 | |
| Democracy | 19 | |
| Kashmir issue | 64 | |
| Would you trust the US to broker peace between India and Pakistan? | ||
| Yes | 33 | |
| No | 62 | |
| Don’t know | 5 | |
| Do you think there is a strong yearning for peace among Indians? | ||
| Yes | 62 | |
| No | 32 | |
| Don't know | 6 | |
What is your opinion about Kargil? | ||
In your view, should Pakistan have trade relations with India?
Are the religious factions a roadblock to Pakistan-India relations?
Are the political parties a roadblock to Pakistan-India relations?
Is the Indian army and RAW a roadblock to Indo-Pak relations?
Is the Pakistan army and ISI a roadblock to Indo-Pak relations?
How do you rate Musharraf’s efforts in ushering peace with India?
In your view, which one of these options is the most suitable way for resolving the Kashmir issue? |
Bilateral negotiations
UN
mediation
US
mediation
War
1989
January
After Rajiv Gandhi’s first visit
August
After his second visit
2001
June
Before Musharraf’s Agra visit
July
Shortly after his Agra visit
August
In the wake of new moves for Indo-Pak dialogue
17
What are the chances of war between India and Pakistan these days?
chance
chance
chance
1999
May
Before Kargil and after Vajpayee’s Lahore visit
June
In the wake of Kargil crisis
2001
July
After Musharraf’s Agra visit
2002
January
Deployment of Indian troops on the borders
2003
January
Tensions on the border continuing
August:
New initiatives on Indo-Pak dialogue had set in
Source: Gallup Pakistan Polls (Time Series Data on Key International Issues)
Methodology
The survey was conducted among 1,338 statistically selected respondents on August 3 and 4, 2003. Nearly 50% of the sample comprised women. The sample represented a cross-section of various income and education segments of the population. There is an error margin of plus or minus 3-4 per cent at 95% confidence level. The survey covered all four provinces of the country. The sample was divided roughly proportional to the population of each province in the total national population. The fieldwork was carried out in 13 cities including Islamabad, Rawalpindi, the four provincial capitals: Lahore, Karachi, Peshawar and Quetta. The other cities were, Sukkur and Hyderabad in Sindh, Multan, Faisalabad, Gujrat, Sahiwal and Sargodha in Punjab and Mardan in NWFP.
