Karnataka

Congress support base declining in all four regions of the state - BJP+:111, Congress: 84, Others: 29

Karnataka
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Forecast Of Votes And Seats
Party% of VotersSeats
BJP+41.7111
Congress35.584
Others22.829
Total224

Gains/loss of seats: Assembly 1999 to 2004
PartyAssembly 1999Assembly 2004Gains(+)/ 
Losses(-)
BJP+62111+49
Congress13284-48
Others3029-1
Total224

Swing in votes: Assembly 1999 to 2004 Assembly 1999 to 2004 
PartyAssembly 1999Assembly 2004Gains (+)/ 
Losses (-)
BJP+34.241.7+7.5
Congress40.935.5-5.4
Others+24.922.8-2.1

Voting Intention: By Region
Region wiseBJP+Congress
Hyderabad Karnataka4032
Bombay Karnataka5234
Coastal4337
Old Mysore3047

Voting Intention: by Caste/Community

Caste/ Religion

12345678910

1:SC, 2:ST, 3:Muslim, 4:Brahmin, 5:Lingayat, 6:Vokalinga 7:
Kuruba, 8: Moratha, 9:OBC, 10:BC

North East KarnatakaBJP+41421860413645253938Congress33396930253626133250North West KarnatakaBJP+203623416667606543-Congress452968412020402747-Manglore Karnataka BeltBJP+482520665356--31-Congress455060173322--53-Old MysoreBJP+20261050372924502521Congress63547326294345335542
Incumbency Factor: State Government

Are you happy with the performance of S.M. Krishna led Congress Govt. in Karnataka?
RegionYesNo
Hyderabad Karnataka4751
Bombay Karnataka3858
Coastal5240
Old Mysore5241

How would you rate the performance of S.M. Krishna led Congress Government in the State in comparison to previous Janta Dal Government?
RegionBetterSameWorse
Hyderabad Karnataka292544
Bombay Karnataka332139
Coastal343421
Old Mysore413222

Incumbecy Factor: Central Government
How would you rate the performance of Vajpayee led NDA Government at the Centre in comparison to previous Congress Govt.?
PartyBetterSameWorse
Hyderabad Karnataka76177
Bombay Karnataka711313
Coastal542220
Old Mysore60313

Leadership Issue
In your opinion, between S.M. Krishna and Anant Kumar, who will be a better candidate for chief ministership?
Region wiseS.M. KrishnaAnanth Kumar
Hyderabad Karnataka3352
Bombay Karnataka3749
Coastal4628
Old Mysore5122
Overall4434

In your opinion who is a better leader to be the next Prime Minister of the country?
Region wiseA.B. VajpayeeSonia Gandhi
Hyderabad Karnataka7224
Bombay Karnataka7317
Coastal6418
Old Mysore6326

Party Perception: State Perspective
Which party’s election campaign and claims do you trust more?
Region wiseBJP+INC+
Hyderabad Karnataka4033
Bombay Karnataka5434
Coastal4328
Old Mysore2544

Between Congress and BJP who is more active and better organised locally in your constituency?
Hyderabad Karnataka3936
Bombay Karnataka6127
Coastal4728
Old Mysore2645

In your opinion, which party is position has improved in your constituency?
Hyderabad Karnataka3833
Bombay Karnataka5429
Coastal4930
Old Mysore3344

In your opinion, which party is likely to win in your assembly constituency?
Hyderabad Karnataka4230
Bombay Karnataka6028
Coastal5228
Old Mysore3046

Performance Issues
In your opinion, what are the most important problems bothering you in your assembly constituency?
Water46
Road12
Electricity12
Poverty6
Unemployment5
Education2
Agriculture2
Housing2
Drought2
Corruption1

What is the most important achievement of S.M. Krishna led Congress govt. in Karnataka?
Education21
Development of Bangalore14
Road8
Information technology6
Crop insurance policy4
Shakti Yojna3
Water supply2
Rural development2
Helped the Farmer2
Women self help groups2
Over all development2

What is the most important failure of S.M. Krishna led Congress govt. in Karnataka?
Kaveri River problem14
Lack of rural development10
Agriculture9
Unemployment6
Corruption/Stamp paper scam6
Poverty3
Drought relief initiatives3
Education2
Bad administration2
Roads

2


BJP+:  Bhartiya Janta Party, Janta Dal (U)
Others:  Independents, Janta Dal (S)

All Figures In Percentage

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