GALLUP-OUTLOOK POLL
Pakistan: 53% See IndiaAs Enemy
The relationship between India and Pakistan constantly waxes and wanes, nowraising hopes of an enduring peace and then promptly dashing it. It was in August 2003that Outlook first commissioned an opinion poll in Pakistan. Soon thereafter, in January2004, India and Pakistan initiated the peace process. Now cracks appear anew. Has all thischanged attitudes in Pakistan about India? Outlook commissioned Gallup Pakistan, anaffiliate of Gallup International, to conduct an opinion poll in 13 cities there. Asexpected, attitudes towards India have remained more or less as they were in 2003, excepton one significant count: there are more Pakistanis now than before who are willing toaccept the conversion of the LoC into an international borderas a solution to theKashmir problem.
| You see India as... | |||
| Rival | Friend | Enemy | |
| 28 | 19 | 53 | |
| The US is closer to... | |||
| Pakistan | India | Equidistant | |
| 20 | 50 | 29 | |
| Would you accept converting the LoC into an international border as a solution to the Kashmir problem? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| July 2006 | 41 | 58 | 1 |
| August 2003 | 29 | 69 | 2 |
| Do you think the Kashmir problem can be resolved in your lifetime? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| ALL | 36 | 61 | 3 |
| < 29 years | 39 | 57 | 4 |
| 30- 49 years | 34 | 63 | 3 |
| 50 > years | 34 | 65 | 1 |
| Do you think India will ever part with Kashmir? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| 29 | 70 | 1 | |
| Is India correct in blaming Pakistan for exporting terrorism to India? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| 11 | 89 | 0 | |
|
2006
2003
2001
2001
Jul 2001: Shortly after Pervez Musharrafs Agra visit
Jun 2001: Shortly before Musharrafs Agra visit
What are the chances of war between India and Pakistan? | ||||
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2003 | Jan 2003 | Jan 2002 | |
| High chance | 11 | 6 | 37 | 32 |
| Moderate chance | 44 | 44 | 55 | 53 |
| Low chance | 44 | 47 | 8 | 14 |
| DK/CS | 1 | 3 | - | 1 |
| Aug 2003: Border tensions had eased. New initiatives on dialogues had set in. Jan 2003: Tension on the Indo-Pak border continuing Jan 2002: Tension on the border; deployment of Indian troops | ||||
| Is it necessary to first resolve the Kashmir issue for peaceful Indo-Pak relations ? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| 76 | 23 | 1 | |
|
| Should Pakistan have trade relations with India? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| 60 | 39 | 1 | |
| Has people-to-people contact (bus links etc) over the last two years helped relations between India and Pakistan? | |||
| Yes | No | DK/CS | |
| 55 | 44 | 1 | |
| What impresses you most about India? | ||||
| Impressed | Not Impressed | Neutral | DK/CS | |
| Democracy | 26 | 40 | 20 | 14 |
| Military | 17 | 54 | 16 | 13 |
| Economy | 24 | 40 | 22 | 14 |
| Culture | 20 | 53 | 14 | 13 |
| Secularism | 12 | 56 | 11 | 21 |
| Methodology |
| The survey was conducted by Gallup Pakistan among 1,200 statistically selected households in 13 citiesIslamabad/ Rawalpindi, Lahore, Karachi, Peshawar, Quetta, Sukkru, Hyderabad, Multan, Faisalabad, Gujrat, Sahiwal, Sargodha and Mardan. Face-to-face interviews were conducted on July 23 and 24 with both men and women. The sample represented a cross-section of various income and education segments of the population. There may be an error margin of plus/minus 3-4% at 95% confidence level. |
