Left Behind To Starve

There is surely no more obvious symptom of the corruption of western politics than the disproportionbetween the money available for sustaining life and the money available for terminating it. We could, I think,expect that, if they were asked to vote on the matter, most of the citizens of the rich world would demandthat their governments spend as much on humanitarian aid as they spend on developing new means of killingpeople. But the military-industrial complex is a beast which becomes both fiercer and greedier the more it isfed.

As the United States prepares to spend some $12 billion a month on bombing the Iraqis, it has so faroffered only $65 million to provide them with food, water, sanitation, shelter and treatment for the injuriesthey are likely to receive1. A confidential UN contingency plan for Iraq, which was leaked in January,suggests that the war could expose around one million children to "risk of death from malnutrition."It warns that "the collapse of essential services in Iraq could lead to a humanitarian emergency ofproportions well beyond the capacity of UN agencies and other aid organizations."2 Around 60 per cent ofthe population is entirely dependent on the oil for food programme, administered by the Iraqi government. Thisscheme was suspended by the UN yesterday, leaving the Iraqis reliant on foreign aid. The money pledged so faris enough to sustain the Iraqis for less than a fortnight (3).

It is hard to believe, however, that the US government will leave them to starve once it has captured theircountry. For the weeks or months during which Iraq dominates the news, the US will be obliged to defend themfrom the most immediate impacts of the institutional collapse its war will cause. Afterwards, like the peopleof Afghanistan, the Iraqis will be first forgotten by the media and then deserted by those who promised tosupport them.

But even before the first troops cross the border, the impending war has caused a global humanitariancrisis. As donor countries set aside their aid budgets to save both themselves and the United States fromembarrassment under the camera lights in Baghdad, they have all but ceased to provide money to other nations.The world, as a result, could soon be confronted by a humanitarian funding crisis graver than any since theend of the Second World War.

Every year, in November, the UN agencies which deal with disasters launch what they call a"consolidated appeal" for each of the countries suffering a "complex emergency". Theyexpect to receive the money they request by May of the following year. The payments and promises they haveextracted so far chart the collapse of international concern for the people of almost every nation exceptIraq.

In Eritrea, for example, the drought is so severe that the water table has fallen by ten metres. Most ofthe nation's crops have failed and grain prices have doubled. Seventy per cent of its 3.3 million people arenow classified as vulnerable to famine4. The United Nations has asked the rich countries for $163m to helpthem. It has received $4m, or 2.5% of the money it requested (5).

Burundi, where almost one sixth of the inhabitants have been forced out of their homes by conflict andnatural disasters, and which is now officially listed as the third poorest nation on earth, has received 3% ofits UN request. Liberia, where rebels have rendered much of the western part of the country uninhabitable,forcing some 500,000 people out of their homes, has been given 1.2%; Sierra Leone, where lassa fever is nowrampaging through the refugee camps, has received 1%; and Guinea, which has recently taken 82,000 refugeesfrom Cote d'Ivoire, 0.4%. Somalia, Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo have all received less than 6%.

Much of the money for these invisible countries has come from donor nations with relatively smalleconomies, such as Sweden, Norway, Canada and Ireland. "The state of Africa", Tony Blair told hisparty conference in October 2001, "is a scar on the conscience of the world, but if the world focused onit, we could heal it"6. Well, let it now be a scar on the conscience of Tony Blair.

As a result of this unprecedented failure by the rich nations to cough up, the people of the forgottencountries will, very soon, begin to starve to death. The UN has warned that "a break in supplies" toEritrea "is now inevitable"7. The World Food Programme has started feeding fewer people there, butwill run out of food within two months. In Burundi it can, it says, continue feeding people "for anotherfour weeks"8. Beans will run out in Liberia this month; cereals in May9. One hundred thousand refugees inGuinea could find themselves without food by August10. Yet neither of the two governments which are about tolaunch a "humanitarian war" appear to be concerned by the impending humanitarian catastrophes in theworld's poorest nations.

The aid crisis is now so serious that it is restricting disaster relief even in nations which areconsidered by the major powers to be geopolitically important. The UN agencies have so far received just 2.9%of their request for Palestine, and 8.4% of the money they need in Afghanistan.

The latter figure is, in light of the repeated promises made by the nations prosecuting the war there,extraordinary. "To the Afghan people we make this commitment," Blair pledged during the same speechin October 2001. "The conflict will not be the end. We will not walk away, as the outside world has doneso many times before."11 Three months later, the UN estimated that Afghanistan would need at least $10bnfor reconstruction over the following five years. The US, which had just spent $4.5bn on bombing the country,offered $300m for the first year and refused to make any commitment for subsequent years. This year, GeorgeBush "forgot" to produce an aid budget for Afghanistan, until he was forced to provide another $300mby Congress12.

The government, which has an annual budget of just $460 million - or around half of what the US stillspends every month on chasing the remnants of Al Qaeda through the mountains - is effectively bankrupt. At thebeginning of this month the Afghan president, Hamid Karzai, flew to Washington to beg George Bush for moremoney. He was given $50m, $35m of which the US insists is spent on the construction of a five-star hotel inKabul13. Karzai, in other words, has discovered what the people of Iraq will soon find out: generosity driesup when you are yesterday's news.

If, somehow, you are still suffering from the delusion that this war is to be fought for the sake of theIraqi people, I would invite you to consider the record of the prosecuting nations. We may believe that GeorgeBush and Tony Blair have the interests of foreigners at heart only when they spend more on feeding them thanthey spend on killing them.

George Monbiot is Honorary Professor at theDepartment of Politics in Keele and Visiting Professor at the Department of Environmental Science at theUniversity of East London and the author of CaptiveState: the corporate takeover of Britain, and the investigative travel books Poisoned Arrows,Amazon Watershed and No Man's Land. He writes a weekly column for the Guardian, UK. The Ageof Consent, his proposals for global democratic governance, will be published in June.

References:

1. The Center for Economic & Social Rights, 7 Mar 2003. The Human Costs of War in Iraq. New York.

2. United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, January 7, 2003. "IntegratedHumanitarian Contingency Plan for Iraq and Neighboring Countries," Confidential Draft. Cited in TheCenter for Economic & Social Rights, ibid.

3. The oil for food programme was to have supplied the Iraqis with over $1bn in humanitarian suppliesbetween December 2002 and June 2003, a rate of over $40m a week, which would have provided basic subsistence.So far official pledges amount to $80m ($65 m from the US and $15 m from the UK). Humanitarian costs riseduring war time.

4. UN OCHA Integrated Regional Information Network, 11 March 2003. Eritrea: Funding crisis as foodsituation becomes critical.

5. All the statistics on Consolidated Appeal requests come from: http://www.reliefweb.int/fts/reports/reports.asp?section=CE&year=2003.Viewed on 16 March 2003.

6. Tony Blair, 2 October 2001. Speech to the Labour Party conference, Brighton.

7. World Food Programme, 14 Mar 2003 . WFP Emergency Report No. 11 of 2003

8. ibid.

9. ibid.