Imagine this for a moment. There is a safe and effective treatment and a vaccine for Covid-19. The last few countries to continue with lockdowns lift excessive restrictions. People begin to slowly rebuild their lives. The world is bruised badly, but it has survived.
What will this new world look like? It is difficult to answer this question with certainty. What we do know for sure is that there will be very few in the world whose lives will not be upended by this crisis. Yuval Noah Harari, an Israeli historian and philosopher, has termed Covid-19 as “perhaps the biggest crisis of our generation”.
Perhaps we should be asking a different question. What do we want this new world to look like? I suspect one thing that we are all hoping for is a paradigm shift in global health. There is already talk about this in the global health community. Sadly, this has focused on the very narrow subject of the reform of the World Health Organization (WHO). Some political leaders have turned against WHO to hide their own failures on the Covid-19 crisis at home. The WHO is not without its shortcomings. However, the obsession with WHO reform is dividing the world and is myopic. It is distracting us from digging deeper into what really needs to be done.
So, what sort of paradigm shift are we talking about? Global health has always been political and Covid-19 has exposed the deep divisions that afflict it. What we need now is a firm resolve and action to rectify the ‘anti-otherness’ and ‘inequity’ in global health.
Reimagining Global Public Health Security
WHO defines ‘global public health security’ as “the activities required to minimize the danger and impact of acute public health events that endanger the collective health of populations living across geographical regions and international boundaries.”
The reality is that the world cares more about diseases that kill people in rich countries. Global health has become synonymous with the health security of a few. While pandemics and emerging infectious diseases receive plenty of funding and media attention, Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs), which impact millions, struggle to get visibility and R&D funding. Madhukar Pai, the Canada Research Chair in Translational Epidemiology & Global Health at McGill University, says that this maybe because NTDs “do not reach the shores of the richest countries”.
There can be no better time to reimagine global public health security. Fear is leading to calls for de-globalizing the world. Countries are turning inwards. They want to restrict travel and trade. Having failed spectacularly in responding to Covid-19, governments in the developed world are under increasing pressure from taxpayers to demonstrate accountability. It will not be surprising then if funding for diseases that mostly impact the most vulnerable and marginalized in developing countries declines even further. That will be catastrophic.
Cooperation is essential to global public health security, so are equity, trust, and solidarity. A global public health security paradigm that prioritises rich countries and the diseases that impact them the most is immoral. Not to mention that it will fail to secure the cooperation of developing countries. One might argue that the concept of global health security is very clear on tackling “acute public health events”. In reality, people in developing countries cannot afford to care about that distinction. Disease and death is an ever present reality for many.
Strengthening Health Systems in Developing Countries
Ebola swept West Africa between 2014-2016. Aid flooded in to contain the disease, especially after a few Ebola cases were found in the US and Europe. However, the aid effort received a lot of flak. Community leaders in DRC questioned why help was only being extended for Ebola when diseases like diarrhoea and malaria were killing people in large numbers every day. External aid and technical assistance were entirely focused on Ebola and neglected the health system. Health workers were able to earn much more if they worked on the Ebola response instead of their local health centre. This has been typical of responses to infectious disease outbreaks and epidemics originating in developing countries.
Taxpayers in donor countries might argue that there is nothing wrong if their tax dollars are selectively used to keep dangerous infectious diseases out of their backyard rather than strengthening health systems in Africa and Asia-Pacific. The problem with such an approach is that it is inimical to building trust and solidarity that is needed to beat a disease like Covid-19. It also results in an excessive focus on short-term technical interventions, to the detriment of longer-term interventions such as building domestic capacity and resilience, health promotion activities, and community engagement, which are crucial against diseases such as Covid-19. Of course, bilateral aid agencies and multilaterals do support health system strengthening on top of emergency aid for pandemics. The point is, it is not enough.
Covid-19 cases are rising in Africa and leaders in the region are concerned. Abiy Ahmed, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister, and a Nobel Peace Prize winner is worried that “access to basic health services remains the exception rather than the norm” in his country. We have seen how Covid-19 has overwhelmed even strong health systems. It could cause absolute havoc in countries with weaker health systems in Africa, which will struggle to deal with the simultaneous onslaught of Covid-19 and other diseases such as diarrhoea, malaria, HIV, and TB, which remain a considerable threat. We see this happening in Zimbabwe already. The country is facing a malaria outbreak and experts fear that the health system might crash in case of a widespread Covid-19 outbreak. A recent analysis by WHO has shown that Covid-19 related disruptions could lead to a doubling in the number of malaria deaths in sub-Saharan Africa this year compared to 2018. Years of progress on diseases such as malaria will be wiped out if health systems in developing countries cannot cope with Covid-19.
While it is hard to overhaul systems in the middle of a crisis, it is evident that health systems strengthening in developing countries has to be a top priority for the global health community in the future. We would be setting ourselves up for failure against a future pandemic if we fail to do so. In a pandemic, we are as strong as our weakest link. Unfortunately, you cannot fix that weakness overnight.
The Fork in the Road
Will multilateralism and solidarity win against protectionism? Will global health change for the better and become more inclusive? This outcome may appear unlikely at this moment when global health seems like a zero-sum game and trust is running low. WHO’s position has been severely undermined. The acrimonious exchanges between the U.S and China on the origins of the SARS-CoV-2 virus also do not forebode well. Most countries have placed some limitations on exports of essential commodities including masks and protective equipment. While sovereign nations reserve the right to protect their own populations, will global health collaboration emerge unscathed from Covid-19?
Even as nationalism and nation states gain ground, I believe that international cooperation and multilateralism will not just fade away. Indeed, these forces may become stronger. The recent G20 Leaders’ Statement on Covid-19 gives us a glimmer of hope. It was unequivocal in its support for WHO; it committed to supporting the most vulnerable people and strengthening health systems everywhere; and, underlined equity as an important principle in the response to Covid-19. Even developing countries like India, which are facing their own Covid-19 crisis, are rising to the occasion. India, which played an important role in the creation of a SAARC Emergency Fund to fight Covid-19, has supplied various medical supplies and testing equipment to its neighbours in the South Asia region.
Every country will have its own choices to make in the coming days. Deft diplomacy will be needed to put global health back on track.
Speaking of diplomacy, an exchange between two iconic characters from the TV series ‘Yes Minister’ comes to mind. This takes place as the technocrat Sir Humphrey Appleby is explaining Britain’s relationship with the European Union to government minister Jim Hacker.
Sir Humphrey Appleby: “It is just like the United Nations infact. The more members it has, the more arguments it can stir up. The more futile and impotent it becomes.”
Jim Hacker: “What appalling cynicism”.
Sir Humphrey Appleby: “Ah yes, we call it diplomacy”
One can only hope that the very size and diversity of institutions, such as the United Nations and its agencies, including the WHO, will ultimately result in the triumph of multilateralism and solidarity in the coming months and years. For that to happen, countries must adopt a different approach to health diplomacy than professed by Sir Humphrey.
(Vaibhav Gupta is currently the Director for Country Acceleration at the Asia Pacific Leaders Malaria Alliance. He has previously worked with the Government of India, the World Health Organization, the World Bank, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, amongst others. Views expressed are personal.)