How Bad Is IT?In a first, large IT players are showing falling revenues, weak guidance. Profitability is under pressure too.Recession-hit US & UK clients are delaying projects, decisions. Sizes of contracts are gradually getting smaller.IT firms facing pricing pressure. Contract prices being revised 5-15 per cent downwards for most firms.No increments. Bigger IT firms have announced salary cuts for senior staff. Top IT services firms not going for fresh H1B visas; US firms reluctant to hire foreign workers***Is The IT Boom Over?IT sector growth expected to fall from 15 per cent to around 9 per cent in the next year, flat growth in the next 2-3 quartersBilling rates will continue to be subdued for the next couple of years, hiring strictly on need basisSmaller players will find it difficult to survive; there will be increased M&A activityAnalysts say no sign of recovery for over two years, IT stocks likely to underperform***H***The Worm TurnsThe IT sec tor isn’t used to plunging graphs. What will happen after the current dip?2.1% Fall in profits of India's largest IT services firm TCS*1.5% Fall in revenues at TCS for Q4, 2008-09, compared to Q33.1-6.7% Infosys' expectation of revenue fall next financial year2,100 Number of people Infosys sacked in April 2009* For Q4 ’08-09 vis-a-vis Q3***MBy Arindam Mukherjee with Ashish Sen in Washington