Of the 154 seats in eight states, BJP-NDA can at best hope to pick up 61 seats. Uttar Pradesh, where Modi’s right-hand-man Amit Shah is in charge, is the great imponderable.
Of the 129 seats in these four states, the BJP will get less than 30 seats. What it will lose in Karnataka due to its diminution, it’s unlikely to make up in Andhra Pradesh.
Of the 153 seats in 13 states, BJP can at best hope to pick up some 40 seats. On its own, it might gain somewhat in Bihar but Modi’s entry has already cost it an NDA partner in JD(U).
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