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High On Hope

A possible route to the semis (Disclaimer: Cricket is a game of glorious uncertainties)

High
on
Hope

A Possible Route To The Semis
 

(Disclaimer: Cricket is a game of gloriousuncertainties)

The good thing about this World Cup is that India need not win too many matches in arow. The top three countries from Pool A and Pool B head to the Super Six carrying 4points for every win against other second-round qualifiers and one point for every otherwin. Outlook took into account three statistical components: every respectable (incricketing terms) nation’s performance in the last 20 ODIs it has played, its recordin the last 10 ODIs played in tournaments where more than two countries have contested andthe results of the last 10 ODIs each country has played against the other. The winprobability of every match till the end of the second phase is given below.

Date
Match
Ground
Venue
Winning team
POOL A: India, Australia, Pakistan, England, Zimbabwe, Netherlands, Namibia
Feb 10
Zimbabwe-Namibia
Harare Sports Club
Harare
Zimbabwe
Feb 11
Australia-Pakistan
The Wanderers
Johannesburg
Australia
Feb 12
India-Netherlands
Boland Park
Paarl
India
Feb 13
Zimbabwe-England
Harare Sports Club
Harare
England
Feb 15
India-Australia
SuperSport Park
Centurion
Australia
Feb 16
England-Netherlands
Buffalo Park
East London
England
Feb 16
Pakistan-Namibia
De Beers Diamond Oval
Kimberley
Pakistan
Feb 19
England-Namibia
St George’s Park
Port Elizabeth
England
Feb 19
India-Zimbabwe
Harare Sports Club
Harare
India
Feb 20
Australia-Netherlands
North West Stadium
Potchefstroom
Australia
Feb 22
England-Pakistan
Newlands
Cape Town
Pakistan
Feb 23
India-Namibia
Pietermaritzburg Oval
Pietermaritzburg
India
Feb 24
Zimbabwe-Australia
Queens Ground   
Bulawayo
Australia
Feb 25
Pakistan-Netherlands
Boland Park
Paari
Pakistan
Feb 26
India-England
Kingsmead
Durban
India
Feb 27
Australia-Namibia
North West Stadium
Potchefstroom
Australia
Feb 28
Zimbabwe-Netherlands
Queens Ground
Bulawayo
Zimbabwe
Mar 1
Pakistan-India
SuperSport Park
Centurion
India
Mar 2
Australia-England
St George’s Park
Port Elizabeth
Australia
Mar 3
Namibia-Netherlands
Goodyear Park
Bloemfontein
Who cares
Mar 4
Zimbabwe-Pakistan
Queens Ground
Bulawayo
Pakistan
POOL B
South Africa, Sri Lanka, New Zealand, West Indies, Bangladesh, Kenya, Canada
Feb 9
S Africa-West Indies
Newlands
Cape Town
S Africa
Feb 10
Sri Lanka-New Zealand
Goodyear Park
Bloemfontein
Sri Lanka
Feb 11
Bangladesh-Canada
Kingsmead
Durban
Who cares
Feb 12
S Africa-Kenya
North West Stadium
Potchefstroom
S Africa
Feb 13
West Indies-New Zealand
St George’s Park
Port Elizabeth
West Indies
Feb 14
Sri Lanka-Bangladesh
Pietermaritzburg Oval
Pietermaritzburg
Sri Lanka
Feb 15
Kenya-Canada
Newlands
Cape Town
Who cares
Feb 16
S Africa-New Zealand
The Wanderers
Johannesburg
S Africa
Feb 18
West Indies-Bangladesh
Willowmoore Park
Benoni
W Indies
Feb 19
Sri Lanka-Canada
Boland Park
Paari
Sri Lanka
Feb 21
New Zealand-Kenya
Gymkhana Club
Nairobi
N Zealand
Feb 22
S Africa-Bangladesh
Goodyear Park
Bloemfontein
S Africa
Feb 23
West Indies-Canada
SuperSport Park
Centurion
W Indies
Feb 24 
Sri Lanka-Kenya
Gymkhana Club
Nairobi
Sri Lanka
Feb 26
New Zealand-Bangladesh
De Beers Diamond Oval
Kimberley
N Zealand
Feb 27
S Africa-Canada
Buffalo Park
East London
S Africa
Feb 28
Sri Lanka-West Indies
Newlands
Cape Town
Sri Lanka
Mar 1
Kenya-Bangladesh
The Wanderers
Johannesburg
Who cares
Mar 3
New Zealand-Canada
Willowmoore Park
Benoni
N Zealand
Mar3
S Africa-Sri Lanka
Kingsmead
Durban
S Africa
Mar 4
West Indies-Kenya
De Beers Diamond Oval
Kimberley
W Indies
THE SUPER SIX
Mar 7
Australia-S Africa
SuperSport Park
Centurion
Australia
Mar 7
India-Sri Lanka
Newlands
Cape Town
India
Mar 8
Pakistan-West Indies
Goodyear Park
Bloemfontein
W Indies
Mar 10
India-S Africa
The Wanderers
Johannesburg
S Africa
Mar 11
Australia-West Indies
St George’s Park
Port Elizabeth
Australia
Mar 12
Pakistan-Sri Lanka
Goodyear Park
Bloemfontein
Sri Lanka
Mar 14
India-West Indies
SuperSport Park
Centurion
India
Mar 15
Pakistan-S Africa
Buffalo Park
East London
S Africa
Mar 15
Australia-Sri Lanka
Kingsmead
Durban
Australia
Last 10 Matches: The win-loss pattern
Aus
Eng
Ind
NZ
Pak
SA
SL
WI
Zmb
Australia
-
-
10
-
7
3
6
4
6
3
8
1
7
3
8
1
10
-
England
-
10
-
-
4
5
4
5
3
7
2
8
5
5
4
5
9
1
India
3
7
5
4
-
-
3
7
4
6
4
6
5
3
5
5
8
2
New Zealand
4
6
5
4
7
3
-
-
2
8
1
9
3
7
6
3
5
4
Pakistan
3
6
7
3
6
4
8
2
-
-
2
8
4
6
6
4
10
-
South Africa
1
8
8
2
6
4
9
1
8
2
-
-
5
5
8
2
8
2
Sri Lanka
3
7
5
5
3
5
7
3
6
4
5
5
-
-
7
3
9
1
West Indies
1
8
5
4
5
5
3
6
4
6
2
8
3
7
-
-
6
4
Zimbabwe
-
10
1
9
2
8
4
5
-
10
2
8
1
9
4
6
-
-
No result/Tie in case total is not adding up to 10
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Last 20 ODIs

Last 10 ODIs
(in tournaments where more than 2 teams played)
Team
Won
Lost
No Result/Tie
Team
Won
Lost
No Result/Tie
Australia
15
4
1
Australia
9
1
-
South Africa
14
6
-
India
6
1
3
West Indies
11
7
2
South Africa
6
4
-
Pakistan
10
9
1
West Indies
5
5
-
India
9
9
2
Pakistan
4
5
1
Sri Lanka
8
10
2
England
3
7
-
England
7
12
1
Sri Lanka
2
6
2
New Zealand
7
12
1
New Zealand
2
8
-
Zimbabwe
6
13
1
Zimbabwe
1
9
-

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