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Karnataka

Congress support base declining in all four regions of the state - BJP+:111, Congress: 84, Others: 29

Forecast Of Votes And Seats
Party
% of Voters
Seats
BJP+
41.7
111
Congress
35.5
84
Others
22.8
29
Total
224

Gains/loss of seats: Assembly 1999 to 2004
Party
Assembly 1999
Assembly 2004
Gains(+)/ 
Losses(-)
BJP+
62
111
+49
Congress
132
84
-48
Others
30
29
-1
Total
224

Swing in votes:
Assembly 1999 to 2004
Assembly 1999 to 2004 
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Party
Assembly 1999
Assembly 2004
Gains (+)/ 
Losses (-)
BJP+
34.2
41.7
+7.5
Congress
40.9
35.5
-5.4
Others+
24.9
22.8
-2.1

Voting Intention: By Region
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Region wise
BJP+
Congress
Hyderabad Karnataka
40
32
Bombay Karnataka
52
34
Coastal
43
37
Old Mysore
30
47

Voting Intention: by Caste/Community
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Caste/ Religion

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

1:
SC, 2:ST, 3:Muslim, 4:Brahmin, 5:Lingayat, 6:Vokalinga 7:
Kuruba, 8: Moratha, 9:OBC, 10:BC

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North East Karnataka
BJP+
41
42
18
60
41
36
45
25
39
38
Congress
33
39
69
30
25
36
26
13
32
50
North West Karnataka
BJP+
20
36
23
41
66
67
60
65
43
-
Congress
45
29
68
41
20
20
40
27
47
-
Manglore Karnataka Belt
BJP+
48
25
20
66
53
56
-
-
31
-
Congress
45
50
60
17
33
22
-
-
53
-
Old Mysore
BJP+
20
26
10
50
37
29
24
50
25
21
Congress
63
54
73
26
29
43
45
33
55
42

Incumbency Factor:
State Government

Are you happy with the performance of S.M. Krishna led Congress Govt. in Karnataka?
Region
Yes
No
Hyderabad Karnataka
47
51
Bombay Karnataka
38
58
Coastal
52
40
Old Mysore
52
41

How would you rate the performance of S.M. Krishna led Congress Government in the State in comparison to previous Janta Dal Government?
Region
Better
Same
Worse
Hyderabad Karnataka
29
25
44
Bombay Karnataka
33
21
39
Coastal
34
34
21
Old Mysore
41
32
22

Incumbecy Factor: Central Government
How would you rate the performance of Vajpayee led NDA Government at the Centre in comparison to previous Congress Govt.?
Party
Better
Same
Worse
Hyderabad Karnataka
76
17
7
Bombay Karnataka
71
13
13
Coastal
54
22
20
Old Mysore
60
31
3

Leadership Issue
In your opinion, between S.M. Krishna and Anant Kumar, who will be a better candidate for chief ministership?
Region wise
S.M. Krishna
Ananth Kumar
Hyderabad Karnataka
33
52
Bombay Karnataka
37
49
Coastal
46
28
Old Mysore
51
22
Overall
44
34

In your opinion who is a better leader to be the next Prime Minister of the country?
Region wise
A.B. Vajpayee
Sonia Gandhi
Hyderabad Karnataka
72
24
Bombay Karnataka
73
17
Coastal
64
18
Old Mysore
63
26

Party Perception: State Perspective
Which party’s election campaign and claims do you trust more?
Region wise
BJP+
INC+
Hyderabad Karnataka
40
33
Bombay Karnataka
54
34
Coastal
43
28
Old Mysore
25
44

Between Congress and BJP who is more active and better organised locally in your constituency?
Hyderabad Karnataka
39
36
Bombay Karnataka
61
27
Coastal
47
28
Old Mysore
26
45

In your opinion, which party is position has improved in your constituency?
Hyderabad Karnataka
38
33
Bombay Karnataka
54
29
Coastal
49
30
Old Mysore
33
44

In your opinion, which party is likely to win in your assembly constituency?
Hyderabad Karnataka
42
30
Bombay Karnataka
60
28
Coastal
52
28
Old Mysore
30
46

Performance Issues
In your opinion, what are the most important problems bothering you in your assembly constituency?
Water
46
Road
12
Electricity
12
Poverty
6
Unemployment
5
Education
2
Agriculture
2
Housing
2
Drought
2
Corruption
1

What is the most important achievement of S.M. Krishna led Congress govt. in Karnataka?
Education
21
Development of Bangalore
14
Road
8
Information technology
6
Crop insurance policy
4
Shakti Yojna
3
Water supply
2
Rural development
2
Helped the Farmer
2
Women self help groups
2
Over all development
2

What is the most important failure of S.M. Krishna led Congress govt. in Karnataka?
Kaveri River problem
14
Lack of rural development
10
Agriculture
9
Unemployment
6
Corruption/Stamp paper scam
6
Poverty
3
Drought relief initiatives
3
Education
2
Bad administration
2
Roads

2


BJP+:  Bhartiya Janta Party, Janta Dal (U)
Others:  Independents, Janta Dal (S)

All Figures In Percentage

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