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Closer Than Expected

UDF set to sweep Kerala but close elsewhere -- hung in Assam, Congress close to majority and close majorities for AIADMK in TN and Left in WB

An exit poll conducted by Development and research services (DRS) forDoordarshan and Zee TV predicts the following:

Kerala: Congress led UDF is set for a sweep

With a 48 per cent vote share, the UDF appears headed for a two-thirdsmajority in the 140-member house with 100 seats while the ruling left democraticfront would finish with 37 seats at 42 per cent vote share. "Other"parties with a vote share of nine per cent would get three seats.

Assam: Congress close to majority in a hung assembly 

The opposition, Congress, with a 42 per cent vote share is poised to get 60seats in the 126-member house followed by the AGP-BJP combine with 33 seats witha share of 31 per cent. "Other" parties are likely to get 32 seatswith a vote share of 27 per cent. Polling in dibrugarh constituency has beencountermanded.

West Bengal: The Left Front projected to get a simple majority; closecontest

An identical vote share of 44 per cent for both the major fronts with theruling left front winning a slender majority of 150 seats and the oppositionTrinamool Congress-Congress combine trailing closely at 138 seats in the294-member assembly. "Others" would get just about six seats with avote share of 12 per cent.

Tamil Nadu: AIADMK projected to get a simple majority; close contest

The ruling DMK-led front and the AIADMK-led front polling 47 and 48 per centvotes respectively with the AIADMK front getting a simple majority of 125 seatsin the 234-member assembly. The DMK front is likely to get 105 seats, with the"others" getting four seats with a five per cent vote share.

Pondicherry:

For the 30-member Pondicherry assembly, the poll did not predict any seatoutcome but as for the vote share, the DMK-led front is expected to get 40 percent, the TMC-Congress 28 per cent and the AIADMK-led front polling 25 per centvotes. "Others" would get seven percent.

The exit poll was conducted in 127 constituencies across the four states and one UT with a margin of three per cent error. The survey covered 20 constituencies in Kerala and Assam but the break-up was not given for other states.

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