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Amber Lights

Early polls are a no-no; the BJP growth graph has plateaued

Reality Check
  • The party has peaked in strongholds like Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, MP and Karnataka. Tally in these states can only go down in the next general elections.
  • Early polls are not welcome as they are likely to be held along with assembly elections in three BJP-ruled states- where anti-incumbency could be a factor.
  • The numbers of the NDA allies have shrunk and only the JD(U) in Bihar is certain to improve tally; BJP peaked in Orissa in 2004; the Shiv Sena is in turmoil.
  • Focus is on the price rise issue to help the party's revival in cities and small towns.
  • Till now, no strong ideological postures by L.K. Advani as there is a need to attract more allies. There's even a buzz about giving outside support to some regional formation.

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