- Mayawati still ahead but neck-and-neck with the Samajwadi Party
- Upper castes not as enthusiastic as they were in the assembly elections two years back
- The BSP will have to fight anti-incumbency, at least in some regions
- In 2007, the voters, tired of the lawlessness, wanted Mulayam Singh out and had voted for change
***In April 2007, as I travelled across central and eastern Uttar Pradesh before the last assembly elections, the word was out—the state needed a tough chief minister to tackle the abysmal law and order situation in the state. And with both the Congress and the BJP in disarray, the Bahujan Samaj Party’s Mayawati appeared best qualified to oust the then CM Mulayam Singh Yadav. Not only did Behenji have an unshakable "base vote" in the Dalits, she had been working assiduously to create a "coalition of victims", capable of taking on Mulayam Singh’s caste fellows and his core...