Only An Encore In Hindi Will Do

These are the states that made the 2014 BJP victory possible. And the situation now seems volatile.
Only An Encore In Hindi Will Do
Only An Encore In Hindi Will Do
outlookindia.com
2018-02-11T17:11:16+0530

Lok Sabha 2014

284 ⁄ 332

Gujarat

26 ⁄ 26

  • As BJP barely made it to power in the 2017 assembly polls, it may lose some seats in 2019
  • How far can CM Vijay Rupani manage to regain lost ground?
  • Will the Union Budget’s pro-poor, pro-farmer push increase BJP’s popularity?

Rajasthan

25 ⁄ 25

  • The rout in byelections signals a reverse sweep against BJP
  • Will the BJP replace Vasundhararaje before elections?
  • Will the 2014 trend reverse ­completely in favour of the Congress in 2019?

Uttar Pradesh

73 ⁄ 80

  • The unknown BSP factor: Will Mayawati join the SP-Congress alliance?
  • Performance of CM Yogi Adityanath will be a factor
  • Will Ram Mandir save the day for BJP?

 

Bihar

31 ⁄ 40

  • Laloo Yadav in jail may work against RJD-Congress alliance
  • Nitish Kumar’s JD(U), which later became a BJP ally, won two seats on its own
  • Will “mausam vaigyanik”—a Lalooism to describe Ram Vilas Paswan—remain a BJP ally?

Madhya Pradesh

27 ⁄ 29

  • Anti-­incumbency works against Shivraj Singh Chouhan
  • Whatever the assembly poll ­results later this year, a clean sweep for BJP is not likely in 2019
  • Congress is a divided house with three leaders working against one another

Maharashtra

42 ⁄ 48

  • Will Shiv Sena remain in ­alliance with BJP or go it alone as it has threatened?
  • Will NCP leader Sharad Pawar fight alone, making it a four-corner contest again?
  • Will CM Devendra Fadnavis’ work override Maratha sentiments?

Chhattisgarh

10 ⁄ 11

  • A repeat performance seems unlikely with strong anti-incumbency
  • Congress’ state unit is almost defunct with no leadership
  • The Ajit Jogi factor: Whose votes will his party eat into?

Jharkhand

12 ⁄ 14

  • Difficult for BJP to repeat its 2014 performance as the Opposition may have gained
  • Can BJP overcome the ­infighting and discontent among the MLAs against the CM?
  • If JMM, Congress and RJD come together, it will be a big challenge

Karnataka

17 ⁄ 28

  • Siddaramaiah is giving a good fight to BJP and taking on PM Narendra Modi
  • Caste combination in the state is in his favour
  • Will B.S. Yediyurappa be able to provide sound leadership to BJP?

Assam

7 ⁄ 14

  • With a strengthened ­organisation in the state, BJP may ­improve its performance
  • The publication of National Register of Citizens (NRC)—seen as protecting Assam’s identity­—may help BJP
  • Strong presence of RSS cadres

Delhi

7 ⁄ 7

  • A genuine three-corner contest on the cards
  • BJP unlikely to repeat a clean sweep
  • AAP and Congress may eat into each other’s votes

Haryana

7 ⁄ 10

  • Manohar Lal Khattar’s poor ­performance as CM
  • Corruption cases against Congress leader and former CM Bhupinder Singh Hooda
  • Leadership crisis in Congress with Ashok Tanwar and R.S. Surjewala contending with Hooda

*The figures include BJP’s allies during the general election

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