Advertisement
Monday, Nov 29, 2021
Outlook.com
opinion

An Agreeable Doubt

For Pakistan’s first normal transition govt, the best bet—a coalition

An Agreeable Doubt
AFP (From Outlook 06 May 2013)
An Agreeable Doubt
outlookindia.com
-0001-11-30T00:00:00+05:53

Elections 2013 will remain the most unpredictable polls in decades for Pakistan. This is largely because of several ‘imponderables’ that have cropped up. It’s a totally new situation. Around 40 million new voters—over 45 per cent of the total registered vote—have been added to the electoral rolls. Another 35 million voters have been wiped off as they were found ‘bogus’ during the digitisation of the rolls. We have no idea who used the bogus votes in early elections and how the new voters will act. However, it is safe to assume the youn­ger voters are likelier to favour the ‘youthful’ Imran Khan, who is all of 60 but smartly focuses his campaign on the youth bulge (perhaps the biggest in the world, with 65 per cent of Pakistan’s population aged between 18-35).

Another factor is that the ruling party former president Gen Pervez Musharraf tailored before the 2008 elections, PML(Q), has been reduced to a few electable individuals, disowning its mentor. The vacuum has been largely filled by Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf (PTI), which has emerged as a mainstream player after 17 years of gestation. It boycotted the last elections in 2008 and was a non-entity in 2002. Imran has generated immense hype around his party by bringing forth 90 per cent new, mos­tly young candidates but we have no statistical means to predict how his party will fare in the coming elections.

Advertisement

Outlook Newsletters

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Read More from Outlook

1st Test: India, New Zealand Share Honours After Enthralling Day 5

1st Test: India, New Zealand Share Honours After Enthralling Day 5

Needing another 280 runs on the final day, New Zealand thwarted the famed Indian spin attack at Green Park to settle for a fascinating draw.

Omicron In India: Five Steps To Stop Outbreak Of New Covid-19 Variant

Omicron In India: Five Steps To Stop Outbreak Of New Covid-19 Variant

Cases of Omicron, the latest variant of Covid-19, have not yet been reported in India.

Omicron Shows Why Countries Need To Start Sharing Their Vaccines

Omicron Shows Why Countries Need To Start Sharing Their Vaccines

'Despite the repeated warnings of health leaders, our failure to put vaccines into the arms of people in the developing world is now coming back to haunt us', wrote former British PM Gordon Brown.

How New Covid-19 Variant Is Impacting Travel Across States In India

How New Covid-19 Variant Is Impacting Travel Across States In India

India has issued fresh travel restrictions for international travellers coming from 'at risk' nations in the wake of the Omicron outbreak across several countries in the world.

Advertisement