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UPA II: A Report Card

Outlook-MDRA Opinion Poll: 90% Babus Say Manmohan Singh Will Last Full Term

I
f there’s one class of people that knows pretty well how the government is performing, it’s the all-powerful bureaucrats. The babu perspective is particularly crucial in gauging a confusing first year for UPA-II, one that has seen a supercharged PMO asserting itself on key reforms on the one hand, and battling high inflation, pressure from coalition partners and a sense of disconnect with the Congress on the other. That’s why Outlook commissioned research agency MDRA to tap into the bureaucrats’ take. And the verdict on UPA-II’s first year—at 6/10—is upbeat but far from outstanding. Ally ministers—Sharad Pawar, A. Raja and Mamata Banerjee—score low on performance. In fact, pressure from allies is listed as the biggest obstacle to UPA-IIs performance, and inflation its biggest failure. Despite this, a whopping 90 per cent said Manmohan Singh would complete his second stint as prime minister.

UPA II
How would you rate the performance of the UPA-II government at the end of its first year? (1 means “extremely poor” and 10 “extremely good”)
Score
Per cent
10
02.2
09
01.6
08
08.2
07
23.5
06
30.1
05
18.6
04
09.8
03
02.2
02
00.5
01
03.3
Median Score
6/10

Which is the biggest success in the first year of UPA-II?
Right to Education
28.4
Women’s Reservation Bill
25.1
Managing economic growth
23.0
Foreign policy
06.0
Fighting inflation
02.7
NREGA
01.6
Sustainability of economic growth
01.1
Others
01.2
None
10.9

Which is the biggest failure of UPA-II?
Corruption
16.9
Inflation, price rise
62.3
Farmer suicides
05.5
Ministerial gaffes
02.7
Sellout to corporates
02.2
Lack of internal security
02.2
Maoist problems
01.6
Women’s Reservation Bill
01.1
Others
05.2
None
00.5

Will Manmohan Singh complete his second stint as PM?
Yes
90.7
No
02.7
Can't say
06.6

Has UPA-II performed better or worse without Left support?
Better
63.4
Same
24.6
Can’t say
02.2
Worse
09.8

Will Sonia Gandhi's return as National Advisory Council chief help UPA-II?
Yes
71.6
No
19.1
Can't say
09.3

If an election is held tomorrow, will you vote for UPA?
Yes
57.4
No
12.0
Can't say
12.6
Maybe
18.0

What has been the biggest obstacle to better performance in UPA-II?
Pressure of allies
49.7
Lack of constructive opposition
21.9
Disconnect between Congress and PM
14.8
PMO setting agenda of ministries
08.7
Lack of leadership
02.2
Lack of policy clarity
01.2
Lack of commitment
00.5
Maoist problems
00.5
Coalition politics
00.5

Best Ministries
Which ministries have performed the best in the first year of UPA-II?
Home Affairs *
23.8
Finance 
21.5
HRD
17.1
Defence
06.6
External Affairs
05.8
Commerce & Industry
05.0
Rural Development
03.0
Railways
02.2
Health & Family Welfare
02.2
Law & Justice
01.9
* Most of the interviews were conducted before the second Dantewada incident

Worst Ministries
Which ministries have performed the worst in the first year of UPA-II?
Agriculture
18.0
Telecom
11.0
External Affairs
08.7
Home Affairs
07.0
Railways
06.7
Finance
05.9
Consumer, Food, PDS
04.8
Health & Family Welfare
03.7
Petroleum & Natural Gas
03.7
No comments
03.7

Best Minister
Who is the best minister in UPA-II?
P. Chidambaram
39.9
Pranab Mukherjee
26.2
Kapil Sibal
14.8
A.K. Antony
03.8
Manmohan Singh
02.7
S.M. Krishna
02.7
Anand Sharma
02.2
Mamata Banerjee
02.2
Murli Deora
01.1
None
01.6

Worst Minister
Who is the worst minister in UPA-II?
Sharad Pawar
26.8
A. Raja
24.0
Mamata Banerjee
07.1
Jairam Ramesh
05.5
S.M. Krishna
03.8
Pranab Mukherjee
03.8
Shashi Tharoor
03.3
M.K. Azhagiri
02.2
P. Chidambaram
02.2
No comments
08.2

Methodology:  Between May 16 and 18, 575 senior bureaucrats were approached at their residences; 183 agreed to take our questions. These are all senior officers (deputy secretary and above): about half the sample comprised IAS officers (90), followed by 50 Indian Allied Services officers, 15 from state services, 8 from the IPS, 5 from the IFS and 15 from other services. Also, 86 per cent of the respondents were male officers, and 14 per cent were female.

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