In Mumbai, Shashi Tharoor, UN under-secretary for public affairs, dismissed the idea that Paul Volcker was a part of some conspiracy to serve US interests, and affirmed total faith in the integrity of the committee. But one does not need a conspiracy to further an interest. One may do it out of one's own free will. Paul Volcker's integrity is unimpeachable. But he is also an 83-year-old Republican who has been schooled by his entire life to believe in America's manifest destiny to spread freedom and democracy around the world. It is not surprising, therefore, that the final report of his committee has thrown George W. Bush a lifeline just when he needed it most. Bush had begun to face anti-war demonstrations in the US that were strongly reminiscent of the early phases of the anti-Vietnam war campaign. His job approval rating had slumped to a record low of 37 per cent, and the number of Americans dead in Iraq had crossed the psychological threshold of 2,000. Another 15,000 had been injured with half or more of them crippled for life.
The Volcker report has gone some way towards repairing the damage. It has shown beyond any doubt that Iraq did indeed use oil quota allocations to mobilise and consolidate political support against the sanctions, and that it obtained kickbacks from the buyers of oil and sellers of humanitarian goods to skim money off the top in violation of the UN sanctions. What it leaves unsaid is that from 1994, or 1995 at the latest, the sanctions were no longer morally justified because Iraq had grudgingly fulfilled its commitment to destroy its weapons of mass destruction.
What it also leaves unsaid is in that same year, the US violated its commitments under UNSC resolution 687 by announcing that it had no intention of allowing the sanctions to be lifted so long as Saddam Hussein remained in power.
The media studiously underplayed the significance of this declaration, and no UN member or official lodged a protest. What the report also leaves unsaid is that Iraq scrupulously abided by the terms of the oil-for-food resolution (No. 968) for 31 months and only began to violate it when it lost all hope that the sanctions would ever be lifted. The members of the Volcker committee can argue that passing value judgements upon the sanctions or guessing Iraq's motives was outside its terms of reference. But it felt no qualms about stepping outside its terms of reference when it came to destroying the reputation of people whom the US had earlier identified, in the final report of the Iraq Survey Group, and the Norman Coleman commission of the Senate, as friends of Iraq.
The first anomaly that Volcker records but chooses to ignore is that although the oil-for-food programme began in 1996, the first time Iraq levied after-sales and transportation charges on imports was in mid-1999, and the first time it levied a surcharge on oil exports was in autumn 2000. If Saddam wanted money to build palaces and WMD, then why did he wait so long? The answer clearly deducible from the report is that Iraq lived up to its commitment to deposit all oil revenues and pay for all humanitarian goods through the escrow account established for the programme so long as it retained a vestige of hope that the sanctions would be lifted. It did not lose hope in 1994 when President Bill Clinton announced that the sanctions would stay irrespective of whether Saddam destroyed his WMD so long as he remained in power. It did not lose hope when, under US prompting, UNSCOM kept raising the bar of compliance. It did not even give up hope on August 25, 1998, when the new UNSCOM chairman, Richard Butler, went back on assurances he had given to prime minister Tariq Aziz in Baghdad only 13 days earlier that he would give a favourable report to the Security Council upon his return. It gave up hope only when UNSCOM pulled its inspectors out of Iraq to permit the US and UK to start bombing Iraq "to degrade" a capacity to make WMD that, we now know, had ceased to exist four years earlier. Only then did Saddam's government start looking for an alternate source of funds.