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79% Say Solve Kashmir First

The first-ever opinion survey in Pakistan by an Indian media house

Outlook News Desk

Updated on:

Outlook commissioned Gallup-Business Research Bureau to conduct the first-ever opinion survey in Pakistan by an Indian media house. Gallup-Business Research Bureau is the Pakistan affiliate of Gallup International, which operates in more than 60 countries across the globe. Established in 1980 in Pakistan, Gallup is today the market leader in media audience research, household consumer panels, third party evaluation studies and opinion polls. It is a member of ESOMAR, the world’s leading association of market researchers and follows the ESOMAR code of conduct.

Gallup-Outlook Opinion Poll In Pakistan
You see India as...
 
Enemy
54
 
Rival
31
 
Potential Friend
15
   
Do you think it is necessary to resolve the Kashmir issue first for the establishment of peaceful relations between India and Pakistan?
 
Yes 
79
 
No
19
 
Don’t know
2
   
Would you accept converting the LoC into an international border as the only solution to the Kashmir problem?
 
Agree
29
 
Don’t Agree
69
 
Don’t know
2
   
What do you think about Vajpayee’s recent peace initiative?
 
Serious
26
 
Gimmick
47
 
Don’t know
27
   
Which of these political issues do you rank first in order of importance?
 
Fundamentalism
17
 
Democracy
19
 
Kashmir issue
64
   
Would you trust the US to broker peace between India and Pakistan?
 
Yes
33
 
No
62
 
Don’t know
5
   
Do you think there is a strong yearning for peace among Indians?
 
Yes
62
 
No
32
 
Don't know
6
   

What is your opinion about Kargil?

 
Useful operation
40
 
Mistake
31
 
Unavoidable
21
 
Don’t know
8
   

In your view, should Pakistan have trade relations with India?

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Yes
63
 
No
35
 
Don’t know
2
   

Are the religious factions a roadblock to Pakistan-India relations?

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Yes
42
 
No
43
 
Don’t know
15
   

Are the political parties a roadblock to Pakistan-India relations?

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Yes
43
 
No
45
 
Don’t know
12
   

Is the Indian army and RAW a roadblock to Indo-Pak relations?

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Yes
63
 
No
28
 
Don’t know
9
   

Is the Pakistan army and ISI a roadblock to Indo-Pak relations?

 
Yes
32
 
No
52
 
Don’t know
16
   

How do you rate Musharraf’s efforts in ushering peace with India?

 
Serious
52
 
Gimmick
23
 
Don’t know
25
 

 

In your view, which one of these options is the most suitable way for resolving the Kashmir issue?

 

Bilateral negotiations

UN
mediation

US
mediation

War

1989
 
January
After Rajiv Gandhi’s first visit

48
23
Option not in the survey
16

August
After his second visit

30
31
-
22

2001
 
June
Before Musharraf’s Agra visit

38
23
Option not in the survey
30

July
Shortly after his Agra visit

47
22
-
23
2003

August
In the wake of new moves for Indo-Pak dialogue
432612

17

Rest: Don’t know/can’t say

What are the chances of war between India and Pakistan these days?

 
High
chance
Moderate
chance
Low
chance

1999
 
May
Before Kargil and after Vajpayee’s Lahore visit

11
35
34

June
In the wake of Kargil crisis

45
42
6

2001
 
July
After Musharraf’s Agra visit

12
43
44

2002
 
January
Deployment of Indian troops on the borders

32
53
14

2003
 
January
Tensions on the border continuing

37
55
8

August: 
New initiatives on Indo-Pak dialogue had set in

6
44
47
Rest: Don’t know/can’t say

Source: Gallup Pakistan Polls (Time Series Data on Key International Issues)

  

Methodology

 

The survey was conducted among 1,338 statistically selected respondents on August 3 and 4, 2003. Nearly 50% of the sample comprised women. The sample represented a cross-section of various income and education segments of the population. There is an error margin of plus or minus 3-4 per cent at 95% confidence level. The survey covered all four provinces of the country. The sample was divided roughly proportional to the population of each province in the total national population. The fieldwork was carried out in 13 cities including Islamabad, Rawalpindi, the four provincial capitals: Lahore, Karachi, Peshawar and Quetta. The other cities were, Sukkur and Hyderabad in Sindh, Multan, Faisalabad, Gujrat, Sahiwal and Sargodha in Punjab and Mardan in NWFP.

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