The month of March proved to be a month of mayhem for the Indian stock markets. As fears of rising cases of coronavirus threatened to push the global economy into a recessionary phase, market players including foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) resorted to relentless selling in March. As a result investors lost wealth of more than Rs 30 lakh crore ($399 billion) in a single month.
The S&P BSE Sensex and the Nifty50 fell about 23 percent each to post their worst fall since October 2008. Investors lost more than Rs 33 lakh crore in a single month as the average market capitalisation of BSE-listed companies fell from Rs 146.87 lakh cr on Feb 28 to Rs 113.48 recorded on March 31.
The large part of the fall was led by consistent selling by FPIs who have pulled out more than Rs 62,000 crore ($8.27 billion) from Indian equity markets from the cash segment so far in March, provisional data showed.
The market movements have become erratic post outbreak of COVID-19 and after most of the world has undergone lock down. A day after logging healthy gains, market benchmarks the Sensex and the Nifty were back in the negative territory on April 1, tracking weak global cues.
The 30-share Sensex ended 1,203 points, or 4.08 percent, down at 28,265.31 and the Nifty settled 344 points, or 4 percent, lower at 8,253.80 on Wednesday. The BSE Midcap and Small-cap indices remained better off than the benchmarks, down 2.18 percent and 1.06 percent, respectively. All sectoral indices ended in the red on BSE, with the BSE Bankex, IT and Teck falling over 5 percent each.
Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services said, “The first day of the financial year started off on a negative note, impacted by the negative global markets and also domestic uncertainties with regards to Bank Stressed assets and Auto numbers. FIIs have net sold around Rs.62000 crores in Equity in March and with virus infections increasing, markets are anticipating a worsening of the situation."
India declared locked down throughout the country on March 24, a week ago. Since then however, the benchmark indices have posted gains of around 8 per cent with Sensex up by 2,285 points and Nifty up by 644 points as on Wednesday.
Commenting on market movements on Wednesday, Ajit Mishra, VP - Research, Religare Broking Ltd. Said, “Markets witnessed a sharp decline as participants took note of a sudden surge in the coronavirus numbers in India and weak auto sales numbers. Besides, feeble global cues, combined with continuous FPIs outflows was also weighing on the sentiments”.
With 21 days of lockdown in India and a complete halt of economic activity across the globe due to rising cases of COVID-19 has fueled fears of economic recession, one of its worst seen in the last 150 years.
Investor’s confidence is continuously being impacted due to mounting fear of global recession, rising cases of Covid-19 and weak macros leading to selling in the global markets including India. Further, in the near term, there are no fresh positive triggers which can boost investor sentiments.
Mishra said, “We reiterate our cautious view on markets and suggest keeping extra care for stock selection and risk management”.
In tandem with the global markets, D-Street witnessed one of its worst month in the last 12 years. More than 90 percent of the Nifty50 stocks hit a fresh 52-week low or multi-year lows in the same period.
However, the bigger carnage was seen in individual stocks. As many as 43 stocks in the BSE500 index fell over 50 percent in the month of March.
For in-depth, objective and more importantly balanced journalism, Click here to subscribe to Outlook Magazine