June 02, 2020
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Delhi

People are happy with Sheila Dikshit's performance and want her back.

Delhi
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Delhi

Main Page ! Survey Highlights And Methodology
Madhya Pradesh ! Rajasthan ! Chattisgarh

Voting intention and seat forecast for coming Vidhan Sabha elections  

Party

Actual vote in 1998 (%)

Voting intention for 2003 (%)

Swing

(%)

Actual number of seats in 1998

Projected number of seats for 2003

BJP

34.0

33.4

-- 0.6

15

11

INC

47.8

49.7

+ 1.9

52

56

Others

18.2

16.9

-- 1.3

3

3

Total

100

100

0

70

70

1.  The reasons for intending to vote for a particular party

Respondents who had indicated a Party they would vote for in the coming elections were next asked to give their reasons of why they would vote for that Party. They were free to give one or more reasons.  The reasons given for voting Congress and BJP are summarized in the table below : 

 

Congress - I

BJP

Base : Would Vote for.....

1514

1018

% saying

%

%

It can ensure justice for poor                      

27

20

It can control rising prices                        

22

21

It can maintain law and order                       

17

19

It will provide more employment                     

14

15

It will fight terrorism                             

14

26

Because of the leader of the party                  

14

18

It can bring down corruption / reduce corruption    

13

21

It will solve state's problems                      

12

14

It stands for communal harmony/protects minorities  

11

8

It can improve villages                             

10

12

Old party                                           

9

0

It will help farmers                                

8

13

Does development work                               

8

11

Good party                                           

7

11

As can be seen from the above table the main reasons for preferring Congress is its pro poor image and perceived ability to control rising prices.  

Where as the main reasons for intending to vote for BJP is that it is competent in fighting against terrorism, it can reduce corruption and leader of the party.

2. Important issues facing the State today 

Respondents were asked to state the three main issues facing the State today.  A large number of problems were mentioned.  The main problems mentioned by over 10% of the respondents were : 

 

All Sample

Base : All respondents

3047

% saying..

%

Providing employment opportunities          

30

Water problem                               

28

Electricity / Power situation               

24

Poverty                                     

21

Overall development of Delhi                

21

Improving roads in Delhi                    

15

Maintaining law & order                     

13

Corruption                                  

11

High price                                  

9

 As can be seen employment opportunities, water supply and power situation are the main concerns among the people of Delhi.

 3. Whether Voted in 1998 Vidhan Sabha elections

  The respondents were next asked whether they had voted in the last Vidhan Sabha elections that were held in 1998. 

 

All Sample

Base : All Sample

3047

% who said they voted for ;

%

Yes

83

No

17

                83% of the respondents in the sample claimed that they had cast their votes in the 1998 Vidhan Sabha Elections.

 4. Party voted for in the 1998 Vidhan Sabha Elections Vs. Party intend to vote for now 

 

Party voted for in the 1998 Vidhan Sabha Elections

Base : Claim to have voted in

Congress (I)

BJP

1998 for ..

1191

975

Party intend to vote now

 

 

% saying:

%

%

Congress - I

88.8

10.7

BJP

2.7

80.4

Others / INDP

1.5

1.3

Don’t know / Can’t say

6.9

7.7

Only 2.7% of the respondents in the sample who claimed to have voted in favour of Congress (I) in the last Vidhan Sabha Elections have said that they intend to vote for BJP this time.  Where as 10.7% of those said they had voted for BJP in the 1998 elections now intend to vote for Congress (I).

5. Reasons for Shifting away from Congress (I)

Those said that they had voted for Congress in 1998 but now intend to vote for BJP were asked for the reasons for the change in their voting intentions. 

Base : Those who claimed to have voted for Congress (I)  last time but now intend to vote for BJP

32*

% saying…

%

Does good development work (BJP)

35

Want to change the Govt.       

14

Overall good performance (BJP)

12

                * small base

 As can be seen from the table above, it is mainly the development work done by BJP in the past has attracted people to BJP away from the INC.

 6. Reasons for Shifting away from BJP 

The respondents who said that they intend to vote for Congress (I) were asked the reasons for not intending to vote for the BJP. The main reasons mentioned were: 

Base : Those who claimed to have voted for BJP  last time but now intend to vote for Congress (I)

104

% saying…

%

Does good development work (INC)

31

Overall good performance  (INC)

11

Have good leader  (INC)

11

Reduce corruption      

10

The main reasons for voting for Congress and not preferring BJP were, good development work done by the Congress (31%).

 7. Performance of Sheila Dikshit as the Chief Minister of Delhi

Respondents were next asked to rate the performance of Sheila Dikshit of Congress (I) as the Chief Minister during her 5-year tenure in Delhi.  Responses are as mentioned below: 

 

All Sample

Base : All respondents

3047

% saying..

%

Very Good

16

Good

26

Average

32

Poor

14

Very Poor

5

Don’t Know / Can’t Say

7

Mean score (out of 5)

3.35

          

  42% of the respondents are of the opinion that Sheila Dikshit ‘s performance during her 5-year tenure as the CM of Delhi has been good or very good, whereas, only 19% of the respondents have rated her performance as poor or very poor.

  She gets an ‘above average rating’ of 3.35 on a 5-point scale.

 8. Main achievements of Sheila Dikshit

All those respondents who had rated the performance of the CM in the past five years as very good or good were asked the reasons for the same. The responses were: 

Base: All those who rated performance of CM as very good or good

1258

% saying:

%

Constructed flyovers                                

53

She started the Metro rail in Delhi                 

48

Has improved electricity / Power situation          

44

Improved roads in Delhi                              

42

Has done a lot for overall development of Delhi     

41

Has solved the water problem                        

30

Has reduce poverty levels in Delhi                  

14

Provided better education                           

11

Involved people in schemes like “Bhagidari Scheme “

6

Main reasons mentioned were construction of flyovers in the state, followed by starting up of Metro railway in Delhi, improvement in power situation and the condition of roads in the state. Indeed a good report for the CM.

9. Main failures of Sheila Dikshit

All those respondents who had rated the performance of the CM in the past five years as poor or very poor, were asked the reasons for the same. The responses were:

Base: All those who rated performance of CM as poor or very poor

532

% saying :

         %

Has not improved electricity / Power situation           

48

Has not solved the water problem                         

48

Has not done enough to reduce poverty levels in Delhi    

36

Has not done enough for overall development of Delhi     

30

Has not improved roads in Delhi                          

22

Traffic situation has worsened in Delhi                  

19

Has not provided Employment opportunities                

19

Corruption has grown.                                    

18

Public transport system has not improved in Delhi        

13

Has not Provided good education facilities               

10

She is not approachable by people

9

Those who had rated the performance of Smt. Dikshit as poor to very poor feel that she has not been able to improve the power situation and water problem in Delhi.  

10.  Opinion on Bhagidari Scheme by Sheila Dikshit 

The respondents were asked for their opinion about the Bhagidari Scheme started by Sheila Dikshit. The views of the respondents are mentioned below: 

Base: All Respondents

3047

% saying :

%

Bhagidari Scheme is an effective forum for the local people to voice their concerns

26

Bhagidari Scheme is ineffective and just a political gimmick by the Delhi Government

20

 

Other opinions

4

Don’t know / Can’t say 

50

Half the respondents seem to be unaware of the Bhagidari Scheme launched by Sheila Dikshit. The opinion seems to be somewhat positive among those who said they were aware of the Bhagidari Scheme, 26% think it is an effective forum for the local people to voice their concerns while 20% feel that it is ineffective and just a political gimmick by the Delhi Government.

11. Conversion of public transport into using CNG as fuel  

The respondents were asked that who in their opinion has brought about the conversion of public transport into using CNG as fuel. The responses are mentioned below: 

Base: All Respondents

3047

% saying :

%

The Delhi State Government

16

The Central Government

11

The Supreme Court

55

Don’t know / Can’t say 

18

More than half (55%) of the respondents are of the opinion that the Supreme Court is responsible for the conversion of public transport in Delhi into using CNG as a fuel. 

12. Party claim over several things in Delhi 

The respondents were asked that according to them which parties do they think is responsible for certain events in Delhi. 

Base: All respondents

Congress (I)

BJP

Both Congress and BJP

Don’t know / Can’t say

% saying…:

%

%

%

%

Granting full statehood to Delhi

21

23

31

25

The Metro railway for Delhi

35

26

23

16

Construction of flyovers in Delhi

46

18

20

16

Respondents are of the opinion that granting of full statehood to Delhi has been a combined effort of Congress(I) and BJP but  a larger proportion of the respondents feel that the starting of Metro and the construction of flyovers in Delhi have been possible due to the efforts of the Congress(I). government  in the state.

13. Most capable of being the next CM of Delhi 

The respondents were asked who in their opinion is the most capable of being the next Chief Minister of Delhi. The views of the respondents are mentioned below:               

Base: All Respondents

3047

% saying :

%

Sheila Dikshit

48

Madan Lal Khurana

25

Sushma Swaraj

10

Jagdish Tytler

2

Sahib Singh Verma

3

Don’t Know/ Can’t Say

8

About half the respondents (48%) feel that Sheila Dikshit is the most capable of being the Chief Minister of Delhi. A quarter of the respondents are of the opinion that Madan Lal Khurana of BJP is the most capable of being the next CM of Delhi. 

14a. Reasons for preferring Sheila Dikshit as CM 

Respondents who had indicated Sheila Dikshit as being the most capable of becoming the CM of Delhi were next asked to give their reasons for preferring her. They were free to give one or more reasons.         

Base: Those preferring Sheila Dikshit as next CM

1450

% saying:

%

Done development work / good work          

23

Good performance of track record           

22

He is honest / clean image                 

21

She is a hardworking                  

12

Help the poor people                       

10

She is a popular leader                

9

Sheila Dikshit as the most capable of becoming the next CM of Delhi because she has done good development work, has a good performance track record and her honest clean image.

14b. Reasons for preferring Madan Lal Khurana as CM

Respondents who had indicated Madan Lal Khurana as being the most capable of becoming the CM of Delhi were next asked to give their reasons for preferring him. They were free to give one or more reasons.   

Base: Those preferring Madan Lal Khurana as next CM

756

% saying:

%

He is honest / clean image                 

25

Done development work / good work          

22

Good performance of track record           

19

He is a Popular leader                

17

He is a hardworking                  

13

Help the poor people                        

8

He is a experience political leader    

8

Madan Lal Khurana is preferred as the next CM of Delhi mainly because of his honest/clean image and he has done good development work in the state and has a good performance track record.

List of Assembly Constituencies covered in Delhi 

AC

NO.

ASSEMBLY CONSTITUENCY

PARLIAMENTARY CONSTITUENCY

4

KASTURBA NAGAR

NEW DELHI

10

R.K.PURAM

SOUTH DELHI

12

JANAK PURI

SOUTH DELHI

14

TILAK NAGAR

SOUTH DELHI

18

SHAKURBASTI

OUTER DELHI

20

BADLI

OUTER DELHI

23

SULTANPUR MAJRA (SC)

OUTER DELHI

32

MEHRAULI

OUTER DELHI

39

MANDAWALI

EAST DELHI

47

ROHTAS NAGAR

EAST DELHI

50

GHONDA

EAST DELHI

54

NARELA (SC)

EAST DELHI

55

BHALSWA JAHANGIRPUR

EAST DELHI

57

PAHAR GANJ

CHANDNI CHOWK

63

KAMLA NAGAR

DELHI SADAR

66

PATEL NAGAR

KAROL BAGH (SC)

68

KAROL BAGH (SC)

KAROL BAGH (SC)

Main Page ! Survey Highlights And Methodology
Madhya Pradesh ! Rajasthan ! Chattisgarh

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