Elections 2009: The Glorious Certainties

Shekhar Gupta in the Indian Express:

Whichever opinion poll may be correct, the BJP and its “like-minded” NDA will get, including Shiv Sena and the Akalis, at least 150 seats or thereabouts. These can never join a Congress-led or a third front-type “secular” coalition. Similarly, the Congress and several third- and fourth-front constituents (Left, SP, RJD, Muslim League), who need the Muslim vote or have an aggressive secular core, will never go with the NDA. So this takes another 250 or so MPs out of the equation. The endgame therefore will be played among the remaining 150. 

And, finally, "whichever coalition comes to power, Ramadoss, Paswan, Kumaraswamy (junior Gowda) and Ajit Singh will be in its cabinet."  

More here: The Glorious Uncertainties

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Shekhar Gupta in the Indian Express:

Whichever opinion poll may be correct, the BJP and its “like-minded” NDA will get, including Shiv Sena and the Akalis, at least 150 seats or thereabouts. These can never join a Congress-led or a third front-type “secular” coalition. Similarly, the Congress and several third- and fourth-front constituents (Left, SP, RJD, Muslim League), who need the Muslim vote or have an aggressive secular core, will never go with the NDA. So this takes another 250 or so MPs out of the equation. The endgame therefore will be played among the remaining 150. 

And, finally, "whichever coalition comes to power, Ramadoss, Paswan, Kumaraswamy (junior Gowda) and Ajit Singh will be in its cabinet."  

More here: The Glorious Uncertainties

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Sundeep Dougal Shekhar Gupta Elections Poll Predictions Opinion Polls

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