January 21, 2020
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Despite UP, Bihar, Congress Still Leads BJP 153-130

Arun Nehru's weekly numbers show  Congress gaining 4 seats over last week and the BJP losing an equal number over last week.

"While every party is under pressure on alliance pattern and seat selection, the BJP continues to damage its prospect".

And it is not as if the Congress does not have its own share of troubles from the allies. In Bihar, for example, Arun Nehru says he "would be surprised if the Congress wins a single seat". 

The reason why the recent Bihar troubles do not make much of a difference in these predictions is that even as of last week, Nehru was giving the Congress 1 seat, which is now down to zero.

For the BJP, the spat between Arun Jaitley and Rajnath Singh, and the Varun Gandhi episode are only two of the problems that are out in the public.

Nehru says "a loss of 10-20 seats in the tally can cause damage to the BJP and this cannot be ruled out if the current chaos continues in the BJP."

But the BJP's biggest problem is its lack of allies. It has already lost Trinamul Congress, AIADMK, TDP, BJD and NC. And realistically speaking, other than BJD, none of the others are likely to support the Saffron party.

Meanwhile, things are heating up with the likes of Mallika Sarabhai contesting from Gandhi Nagar against LK Advani and Shashi Tharoor from Kerala.

But Nehru is more realistic:

I think this election will see the emergence of Mr Rahul Gandhi in the Congress and Mr Narendra Modi in the BJP and both have the talent and ability to lead. There will also be Ms Mayawati who will battle to increase the vote share of the BSP and to establish its position as a credible third force. These three may well be the major players in the political arena.

Graphic Courtesy Deccan Chronicle

Despite UP, Bihar, Congress Still Leads BJP 153-130
outlookindia.com
1970-01-01T05:30:00+0530

Arun Nehru's weekly numbers show  Congress gaining 4 seats over last week and the BJP losing an equal number over last week.

"While every party is under pressure on alliance pattern and seat selection, the BJP continues to damage its prospect".

And it is not as if the Congress does not have its own share of troubles from the allies. In Bihar, for example, Arun Nehru says he "would be surprised if the Congress wins a single seat". 

The reason why the recent Bihar troubles do not make much of a difference in these predictions is that even as of last week, Nehru was giving the Congress 1 seat, which is now down to zero.

For the BJP, the spat between Arun Jaitley and Rajnath Singh, and the Varun Gandhi episode are only two of the problems that are out in the public.

Nehru says "a loss of 10-20 seats in the tally can cause damage to the BJP and this cannot be ruled out if the current chaos continues in the BJP."

But the BJP's biggest problem is its lack of allies. It has already lost Trinamul Congress, AIADMK, TDP, BJD and NC. And realistically speaking, other than BJD, none of the others are likely to support the Saffron party.

Meanwhile, things are heating up with the likes of Mallika Sarabhai contesting from Gandhi Nagar against LK Advani and Shashi Tharoor from Kerala.

But Nehru is more realistic:

I think this election will see the emergence of Mr Rahul Gandhi in the Congress and Mr Narendra Modi in the BJP and both have the talent and ability to lead. There will also be Ms Mayawati who will battle to increase the vote share of the BSP and to establish its position as a credible third force. These three may well be the major players in the political arena.

Graphic Courtesy Deccan Chronicle

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