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Congress 102, BJP 162; UPA 117, NDA 186: C-Voter Poll

Congress 102, BJP 162; UPA 117, NDA 186: C-Voter Poll
Congress 102, BJP 162; UPA 117, NDA 186: C-Voter Poll
outlookindia.com
1970-01-01T05:30:00+05:30

The latest opinion poll by India TV-Times Now C Voter-Survey based on national representative sample of 24,284 randomly selected respondents between August 16 and October 15 shows the difference between Congress and BJP further widening.

Seat Projections:

  • Congress: 102 seats (119 in July poll)
  • BJP: 162 seats (131 in July poll)

In 2009 Lok Sabha elections:

  • Congress 206 seats
  • BJP 116.

Seat Projections for

NDA: [BJP, Shiv Sena, Akali Dal, RPI (Athawale) NCP of Meghalaya and Haryana Janhit Congress]

UPA: [NCP, RLD, JMM, Muslim League, National Conference and Kerala Congress (Mani)]

Others: [AIADMK, SP, BSP, Left Front, Trinamool Congress, RJD, BJD, YSR Congress and TSR]

  • NDA: 186 seats (156 in July poll)
  • UPA:  117 seats (136 in July poll)
  • Others: 240 seats (251 in July poll)

In 2009 Lok Sabha:

  • UPA had 259 seats,
  • NDA had 159 seats.

The survey projects huge losses for Congress in Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Kerala, where it had got a good number of seats last time.

The survey also projects good gains for BJP in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, and a reversal of fortune in Rajasthan.

In terms of vote share the survey projects the following:

  • NDA:  35 per cent
  • UPA: 27 per cent
  • Others: 38 per cent

 

Andhra Pradesh: 40 2009 July, 2013
October, 2013
Congress  33 7 7
TRS 2 11 13
TDP 6 9 8
YSR Cong 0 14 13
  40 40 40
Arunachal: 2      
Congress 2   1
BJP 0   1
  2 2 2
Assam:14      
Congress  7 8 9
BJP 4 2 3
AGP 1 2 0
AUDF 1 1 1
BPF 1 1 1
  14 14 14
Bihar:40      
Congress  2 1 1
BJP 12 14 14
RJD 4 12 14
LJP 0 1 1
JDU 20 11 9
Ind 2 1 1
  40 40 40
Chhatisgarh:11      
Congress  1 4 3
BJP 10 7 8
  11 11 11
Delhi: 7      
Congress 7 1 3
BJP 0 6 4
  7 7 7
Goa:2      
Congress  1 1 1
BJP 1 1 1
  2 2 2
Gujarat: 26      
Congress 11 5 4
BJP 15 21 22
  26 26 26
In Gujarat, Congress:BJP vote share ratio was 44:47 in 2009 LS elections, which changed to 41:52 in July op poll and now it is 31:55, the largest gap of 24% between the two parties where they are head to head
Haryana: 10      
Congress 9 6 5
BJP 0 2 4
HJC 1 0 0
INLD 0 2 1
  10 10 10
Himachal: 4      
Congress 1 1 1
BJP 3 3 3
  4 4 4
J&K:6      
Congress 2 1 1
BJP 0 1 1
NC 3 2 2
PDP 0 1 1
Ind 1 1 1
  6 6 6
Jharkhand:14      
Congress 1 4 1
BJP 8 3 6
JMM 2 3 2
JVM 1 3 3
Ind 2 1 2
  14 14 14
Karnataka: 28      
Congress 6 17 13
BJP 19 8 12
JDS 3 3 3
  28 28 28
Kerala: 20      
Congress 13   4
Kerala Cong (Mani) 1   1
IUML 2   2
Left Front 4   13
  20 20 20
MP: 29      
Congress 12 12 6
BJP 16 16 23
BSP 1 1 0
  29 29 29
Maharashtra:48      
Congress 17 11 11
BJP 9 11 13
Shiv Sena 11 15 14
NCP 8 6 6
RPI (Athavale) 0 2 2
MNS 0 2  
  48 48 48
Manipur: 2      
Congress     2
  2 2 2
Meghalaya:2      
Congress 1   1
NPP 1   1
  2 2 2
Mizoram: 1      
Ind/Others     1
  1 1 1
Nagaland: 1      
NPF     1
  1 1 1
Odisha: 21      
Congress 6   9
BJD 14   12
CPI 1    
  21 21 21
Punjab: 13      
Congress 8   4
BJP 1   2
SAD 4   7
  13 13 13
Rajasthan: 25      
Congress 20 9 5
BJP 4 15 19
Ind 1 1 1
  25 25 25
Tamil Nadu: 39      
Congress 8 1 1
AIADMK 9 29 28
DMK 18 5 5
CPI 1 1 1
CPI (M) 1 0 0
MDMK 1 1 1
DMDK 0 1 2
VCK 1 1 1
  39 39 39
Tripura:2      
Congress     0
CPI (M)     2
  2 2 2
Uttar Pradesh: 80      
Congress 21 5 5
BJP 10 12 17
BSP 20 27 31
SP 23 33 25
RLD 5 3 2
Ind 1 0 0
  80 80 80
Uttarakhand: 5      
Congress 5   0
BJP 0   5
  5 5 5
West Bengal: 42      
Congress 6 2 3
BJP 1 0 0
TMC 19 22 23
Left Front 15 17 16
  42 42 42
Union Territories: 6      
Congress 1   1
BJP 0   4
Independents/Others 5   1
  6 6 6

 

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