January 29, 2020
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157-132: And the Gap is Growing

Coming from Congressman-turned BJP armchair pollster Arun Nehru, the Congress would be pleased to see him give it a lead of as much as 25 seats in the Deccan Chronicle:



Graphic Courtesy the Deccan Chronicle

Trends have settled in most of the states but what will happen in Uttar Pradesh? I see small changes which may further develop in the coming weeks.

The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) continues to look strong and after the Pilibhit episode it may gain minority votes. The Congress may also gain in select seats.

In fact, the Congress is in a fighting position in Farrukhabad, Badaun, Rampur, Moradabad, Sultanpur, Kanpur, Padrauna and Pratapgarh. It looks set to get 10 to 15 seats in Uttar Pradesh this time. Raebareli and Amethi are safe and Congress candidate Jitin Prasada should also win.

Rampur is interesting where Jayaprada of the SP was ahead of the Congress and the BJP but now it is a photo finish between the Congress, the BJP and the SP. The Congress/BSP can both swing away another 5-6 seats from the SP and BJP if the minority reaction is favourable.

In turn, the BJP may also consolidate its seats. The SP is under pressure in Uttar Pradesh.

Even more heartening and perplexing for it must be Nehru's last words: "If we look at the last six Assembly elections then we see that integrity and good governance have been rewarded. Instinct tells me that a similar situation may well develop in 2009."

Read the full article: Voters will award good governance

157-132: And the Gap is Growing
outlookindia.com
1970-01-01T05:30:00+0530

Coming from Congressman-turned BJP armchair pollster Arun Nehru, the Congress would be pleased to see him give it a lead of as much as 25 seats in the Deccan Chronicle:



Graphic Courtesy the Deccan Chronicle

Trends have settled in most of the states but what will happen in Uttar Pradesh? I see small changes which may further develop in the coming weeks.

The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) continues to look strong and after the Pilibhit episode it may gain minority votes. The Congress may also gain in select seats.

In fact, the Congress is in a fighting position in Farrukhabad, Badaun, Rampur, Moradabad, Sultanpur, Kanpur, Padrauna and Pratapgarh. It looks set to get 10 to 15 seats in Uttar Pradesh this time. Raebareli and Amethi are safe and Congress candidate Jitin Prasada should also win.

Rampur is interesting where Jayaprada of the SP was ahead of the Congress and the BJP but now it is a photo finish between the Congress, the BJP and the SP. The Congress/BSP can both swing away another 5-6 seats from the SP and BJP if the minority reaction is favourable.

Even more heartening and perplexing for it must be Nehru's last words: "If we look at the last six Assembly elections then we see that integrity and good governance have been rewarded. Instinct tells me that a similar situation may well develop in 2009."

Read the full article: Voters will award good governance

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