- There is no wave in favour of the two Dravidian parties.
- Most pundits predict a hung assembly. Neither the AIADMK nor the DMK likely to touch the magic figure of 118 in the 234-seat assembly.
- While Jayalalitha has recovered ground from her 2004 Lok Sabha routs, the slew of sops announced by the DMK has improved its prospects.
- Jayalalitha handled the tsunami relief well. Also, Vaiko's MDMK and Dalit Panthers are with her. But this may not be enough to get her home.
- Whoever wins will have to find coalition allies. If AIADMK gets 100 seats, it will form a stable regime.
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