POSTED BY Sundeep Dougal ON Apr 18, 2014 AT 23:59 IST ,  Edited At: Apr 18, 2014 23:59 IST

This week, Outlook asks on its cover whether Priyanka Gandhi Vadra can save the Congress.

Ten years back, Anita Pratap, our then columnist, who now happens to be the Aam Aadmi Party's candidate for Lok Sabha from Ernakulum in Kerala, had almsot presciently asked: If it had to be a Nehru-Gandhi, why Rahul and not Priyanka? She was the better bet.

In yet another irony, while the latest nation-wide opinion poll by NDTV predicts 275 seats for the NDA, it is perhaps time to recall an Outlook cover of April 26, 2004.

POSTED BY Sundeep Dougal ON Apr 18, 2014 AT 23:59 IST ,  Edited At: Apr 18, 2014 23:59 IST
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Daily Mail
Digression
11/D-176
Apr 22, 2014
04:40 PM

I think you want to believe that history will repeat itself more than anyone else. The inner Congressi in me wants to believe just that. 

Don Quixote
Rody, India
10/D-46
Apr 21, 2014
07:53 AM

 @Ramki

You are only endorsing the points I have made!

R V Subramanian
Gurgaon, India
9/D-122
Apr 20, 2014
09:50 PM
@ramki "Do you know that the CONgress party in 2004 secured just about the same % of votes that the opinion polls predicted they will secure ?" Very true - the result does hinge on a tiny fraction of the vote changing which under the first past the post system (FPTP) has a disproportionate effect on the number of seats gained or lost. Maybe we need a presidential system - it seems silly to have MLA's and MPSs on top as well.
MK Saini
Delhi, India
8/D-119
Apr 20, 2014
09:45 PM
there are so many local factors that opinion polls in India are not reliable. Sure there is a sense that Modi should be PM, but translating this into practice is hard. Whats different between 2004 and 2014? - I would say mass media is more pervasive and this time there is a more focused message. Modi appears to have done the work required but now we can only wait.
MK Saini
Delhi, India
7/D-80
Apr 20, 2014
05:03 PM

 RV Subramaniam >> Even if at a particular point of time the predictions come closer to actual, the limitations cannot be shaken off

Do you know that the CONgress party in 2004 secured just about the same % of votes that the opinion polls predicted they will secure ?

It is only in seats tally that the party did much better and that was because of the smart alliances with KCR, DMK , Laloo Yadav..

Ditto in 2009, CONgress got 28% popular vote and most opinion polls were predicting that.. smart division of non cong votes in Maha, AP and TN helped them to convert more of the votes into seats..

Let us argue for moment that Modi wave is hype and there is no disgust against the UPA Rule..

Still where are the smart alliances for the party?

The only places they stitched a meaningful alliance is in Bihar and they are continuing in Maha. UPA is only existing in Bihar, Maha and Kashmir. Elsewhere, CONgress is orphaned...

 
Ramki_Uncensored
Delhi, India
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