POSTED BY Buzz ON Feb 26, 2014 AT 23:47 IST ,  Edited At: Feb 26, 2014 23:47 IST

A Pew Research Center survey conducted between December 7, 2013 and January 12, 2014 based on face-to-face interviews with 2,464 randomly selected adults and a margin of error of 3.8% says:

More than six-in-ten Indians (63%) prefer the BJP to lead the next Indian national government. Just two-in-ten (19%) pick the Indian National Congress. Other parties have the support of 12% of the public. BJP backing is consistent across age groups. And support is almost equal between rural (64%) and urban (60%) Indians.

 

Surprisingly, however, the survey shows the following breakdown of the BJP's support-base, which shows it doing even better in the South (where it has practically no or very little presence in Tamil Nadu and AP, and Kerala is not sampled) than in the West:

Perhaps the answer to this lies in the methodology (Kerala was excluded in the South, see below) and voters were only asked which party should lead the next government:

The Pew Research survey does not directly ask about vote choice or the likelihood that a respondent will vote, and it cannot gauge the level of support for either the BJP or Congress in particular constituencies. But it reveals a widespread desire among Indians for a change in leadership.

 

Likewise, when it came to the comparison of the prospects between Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi, the poll shows the following:

Interestingly, while Arvind Kerjirwal was not included in the list of leaders whose popularity was sought to be gauged, the leader who came #2 in popularity to Mr Modi was Anna Hazare and even Mr Manmohan Singh did better than Mr Rahul Gandhi:

Methodology:

Results for the survey in India are based on 2,464 face-to-face interviews with adults 18 and older, between December 7, 2013 and January 12, 2014. Interviews were conducted in Hindi, Tamil, Bengali, Telgu, Odia, Marathi, Kannad, and Gujarati. The survey covers 15 of the 17 most populous states (Kerala and Assam were excluded) and the Union Territory of Delhi, which together are home to about 91% of the adult Indian population. The survey is based on an area-probability design, which entailed proportional allocation of 1,876 interviews by region and urbanity, plus an urban over-sample of 588 interviews. The primary sampling units were urban settlements and rural districts. The full sample was weighted to reflect the national urban-rural distribution in India.

Read the full report at Pew Research Global Attitudes Project

POSTED BY Buzz ON Feb 26, 2014 AT 23:47 IST ,  Edited At: Feb 26, 2014 23:47 IST
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Daily Mail
Digression
9/D-150
Mar 13, 2014
11:18 PM

 NDTV  is rightly called Nehru Dynasty TV and it had lost its independence long time back.

But surprisingly, I saw the Prannoy aRoy of the 90's today. He was very professional in analyzing and the pgm was actually good. It was very fair to all parties. A big surprise.

Akash Verma
Chennai, India
8/D-37
Mar 04, 2014
09:26 AM

"Again, they will never disclose their methodology, raw data. World over Poll agencies follow norms, India it is all Ram-bharose. Obviously BJP benfits. :-)"
himanshu, New Jersey, United States

It will be short drive for you to reach Pew Research Center from New Jersey to Washington, D.C. (, if Chris Christie does not order lane closures!) and ask for the data. They will oblige.

By the way, The Pew Research Center is an American think tank based in Washington, D.C., that provides information on social issues, public opinion, and demographic trends shaping the United States and the world.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pew_Research_Center

http://www.pewresearch.org/

So I don't know what you mean India is Ram bharose! and BJP benefits?

Pramod
Tucson, United States
7/D-4
Mar 01, 2014
01:41 AM

 Again, they will never disclose their methodology, raw data. World over Poll agencies follow norms, India it is all Ram-bharose. Obviously BJP benfits. :-)

himanshu
New Jersey, United States
6/D-115
Feb 28, 2014
08:34 PM

Indias' population is 1.2 Billion and pew interviewed 2,464 people, in rss parlance they talked to each and every Indian.

kishoredasmunshi
Kolkatta, India
5/D-135
Feb 27, 2014
11:02 PM

Who has a smaller following than Rahul??

R. Saroja
Bombay, India
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