POSTED BY Buzz ON Feb 13, 2014 AT 22:47 IST ,  Edited At: Feb 13, 2014 22:47 IST

The latest opinion poll by India TV-Times Now C Voter-Survey based on national representative sample shows the difference between Congress and BJP further widening. 

Seat Projections: 


2009 LS Jul 2013 Oct 2013 Feb 2014
UPA 259 136 117 101
Congress       89
NCP       5
RLD       1
JMM       2
NC       1
KC (Mani)       1
         
NDA 159 156 186 227
BJP       202
Shiv Sena       15
Akali Dal       5
RPI (Athawale)       2
Swabhimani Paksha       1
NPP       1
HJC       1
         
Others 124   240 215

Preferred as Prime Minister:

  • Rahul Gandhi 26.7%
  • Narendra Modi 59.1%

Preferred Alliance:

  • NDA: 47.2 %
  • UPA: 35.1 %
  • Third Front: 3.7 %

 

Andhra Pradesh: 42 2009 Jul 2013
Oct 2013
Feb 2014
Congress  33 7 7 6
BJP       2
TRS 2 11 13 10
TDP 6 9 8 10
YSR Cong 0 14 13 13
MIM 1 1 1 1
  42 42 42 42
Arunachal: 2        
Congress 2   1 1
BJP 0   1 1
  2 2 2 2
Assam:14        
Congress  7 8 9 7
BJP 4 2 3 5
AGP 1 2 0 0
AUDF 1 1 1 1
BPF 1 1 1 1
  14 14 14 14
Bihar:40        
Congress  2 1 1 1
BJP 12 14 14 21
RJD 4 12 14 12
LJP 0 1 1 1
JDU 20 11 9 5
Ind 2 1 1  
  40 40 40 40
Chhatisgarh:11        
Congress  1 4 3 3
BJP 10 7 8 8
  11 11 11 11
Delhi: 7        
Congress 7 1 3 0
BJP 0 6 4 4
AAP       3
  7 7 7 7
Goa:2      
Congress  1 1 1 1
BJP 1 1 1 1
  2 2 2 2
Gujarat: 26        
Congress 11 5 4 4
BJP 15 21 22 22
  26 26 26 26
       
In Gujarat, Congress:BJP vote share ratio was 44:47 in 2009 LS elections, which changed to 41:52 in July op poll and in October it became 31:55, the largest gap of 24% between the two parties where they are head to head
Haryana: 10        
Congress 9 6 5 1
BJP 0 2 4 6
HJC 1 0 0 1
INLD 0 2 1 1
AAP       1
  10 10 10 10
Himachal: 4        
Congress 1 1 1 1
BJP 3 3 3 3
  4 4 4 4
J&K:6        
Congress 2 1 1 1
BJP 0 1 1 2
NC 3 2 2 1
PDP 0 1 1 2
Ind 1 1 1 -
  6 6 6 6
Jharkhand:14        
Congress 1 4 1 1
BJP 8 3 6 8
JMM 2 3 2 2
JVM 1 3 3 2
Ind 2 1 2 1
  14 14 14 14
Karnataka: 28        
Congress 6 17 13 14
BJP 19 8 12 11
JDS 3 3 3 2
AAP       1
  28 28 28 28
Kerala: 20        
Congress 13   4 7
Kerala Cong (Mani) 1   1 1
IUML 2   2 2
Left Front 4   13 9
BJP       1
  20 20 20 20
MP: 29        
Congress 12 12 6 5
BJP 16 16 23 24
BSP 1 1 0 0
  29 29 29 29
Maharashtra:48        
Congress 17 11 11 8
BJP 9 11 13 15
Shiv Sena 11 15 14 15
NCP 8 6 6 5
RPI (Athavale) 0 2 2 2
MNS 0 2   1
Swabhimana Paksha       1
AAP       1
  48 48 48 48
Manipur: 2        
Congress     2 1
Others       1
  2 2 2 2
Meghalaya:2        
Congress 1   1 1
NPP 1   1 1
  2 2 2 2
Mizoram: 1        
Ind/Others     1  
Congress       1
  1 1 1 1
Nagaland: 1        
NPF     1 1
  1 1 1 1
Odisha: 21        
Congress 6   9 7
BJD 14   12 12
CPI 1      
BJP       2
  21 21 21 21
Punjab: 13        
Congress 8   4 6
BJP 1   2 2
SAD 4   7 5
  13 13 13 13
Rajasthan: 25        
Congress 20 9 5 4
BJP 4 15 19 21
Ind 1 1 1  
  25 25 25 25
Sikkim: 1        
SDF       1
        1
Tamil Nadu: 39        
Congress 8 1 1 1
AIADMK 9 29 28 27
DMK 18 5 5 5
CPI 1 1 1 1
CPI (M) 1 0 0 1
MDMK 1 1 1 1
DMDK 0 1 2 2
VCK 1 1 1 1
  39 39 39 39
Tripura:2        
Congress     0  
CPI (M)     2 2
  2 2 2 2
Uttar Pradesh: 80        
Congress 21 5 5 4
BJP 10 12 17 34
BSP 20 27 31 21
SP 23 33 25 20
RLD 5 3 2 1
Ind 1 0 0 0
  80 80 80 80
Uttarakhand: 5        
Congress 5   0 0
BJP 0   5 5
  5 5 5 5
West Bengal: 42        
Congress 6 2 3 2
BJP 1 0 0 1
TMC 19 22 23 24
Left Front 15 17 16 14
Others       1
  42 42 42 42
Union Territories: 6        
Congress 1   1 1
BJP 0   4 3
Independents/Others 5   1 1
AAP       1
  6 6 6 6

Others:

  Feb '14 2009
Aam Aadmi Party 7 -
Samajwadi Party 20 23
Left Front 27  
AIADMK 27  
BSP 21  
Trinamool Congress 24 19
RJD 12 4
Biju Janata Dal 12 14
YSR Congress 13  
Telangana Rashtra Samiti 10 2
Janata Dal-United 5 20
Telugu Desam Party 10 6
DMK 5 18
Jharkhand Vikas Morcha 2  
Janata Dal-S 2  
Asom Gana Parishad 0  
Maharashtra Navnirman Sena 1  
Indian National Lok Dal 1  
LJP 1  
MDMK 1  
PDP 2  
AUDF 1  
Bodoland People's Front 1  
Nationalist People's Front 1  
Sikkim Democratic Front 1  
Majlis Ittehadul Muslimeen 1  
Independent 1  
  215 240

 

POSTED BY Buzz ON Feb 13, 2014 AT 22:47 IST ,  Edited At: Feb 13, 2014 22:47 IST
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Daily Mail
Digression
8/D-130
Feb 17, 2014
03:27 PM

Communalist wish these had been the results in every election since 1947, esp 2004. Why they havent been could be the subject of a book.

communalist
mumbai, India
7/D-76
Feb 17, 2014
10:15 AM

this is not a modi wave...anti sunami congress wave

Raja
chennai, India
6/D-119
Feb 14, 2014
05:42 PM

 Opinion polls have no relevance. They are meaningless. They are paid propaganda items designed to fool voters intop backing a perceived winning horse. They should be banned. should be banned.

Since Modi CANNOT win the election anyone who publishes anything remotely suggesting he may win is obviously a LIAR and should be hung from the nearest lamp post.

Bonita
Chennai, India
5/D-52
Feb 14, 2014
10:41 AM

"Nope, there is no Modi wave:"

Actually Modi's appointment as PM candidate was supposed to consolidate anti-Modi votes and it was supposed to weaken the BJP. Outlook was running many cover stories to that effect.

Rakhal Chandra Ghosh
Tomball, United States
4/D-51
Feb 14, 2014
10:33 AM

"btw: Nope, there is no Modi wave:"

Sickos don't categorise tsunami as a wave.

K.Suresh
Bangalore, India
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