POSTED BY Buzz ON Oct 16, 2013 AT 23:24 IST ,  Edited At: Oct 16, 2013 23:24 IST

The latest opinion poll by India TV-Times Now C Voter-Survey based on national representative sample of 24,284 randomly selected respondents between August 16 and October 15 shows the difference between Congress and BJP further widening.

Seat Projections:

  • Congress: 102 seats (119 in July poll)
  • BJP: 162 seats (131 in July poll)

In 2009 Lok Sabha elections:

  • Congress 206 seats
  • BJP 116.

Seat Projections for

NDA: [BJP, Shiv Sena, Akali Dal, RPI (Athawale) NCP of Meghalaya and Haryana Janhit Congress]

UPA: [NCP, RLD, JMM, Muslim League, National Conference and Kerala Congress (Mani)]

Others: [AIADMK, SP, BSP, Left Front, Trinamool Congress, RJD, BJD, YSR Congress and TSR]

  • NDA: 186 seats (156 in July poll)
  • UPA:  117 seats (136 in July poll)
  • Others: 240 seats (251 in July poll)

In 2009 Lok Sabha:

  • UPA had 259 seats,
  • NDA had 159 seats.

The survey projects huge losses for Congress in Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Kerala, where it had got a good number of seats last time.

The survey also projects good gains for BJP in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, and a reversal of fortune in Rajasthan.

In terms of vote share the survey projects the following:

  • NDA:  35 per cent
  • UPA: 27 per cent
  • Others: 38 per cent

 

Andhra Pradesh: 40 2009 July, 2013
October, 2013
Congress  33 7 7
TRS 2 11 13
TDP 6 9 8
YSR Cong 0 14 13
  40 40 40
Arunachal: 2      
Congress 2   1
BJP 0   1
  2 2 2
Assam:14      
Congress  7 8 9
BJP 4 2 3
AGP 1 2 0
AUDF 1 1 1
BPF 1 1 1
  14 14 14
Bihar:40      
Congress  2 1 1
BJP 12 14 14
RJD 4 12 14
LJP 0 1 1
JDU 20 11 9
Ind 2 1 1
  40 40 40
Chhatisgarh:11      
Congress  1 4 3
BJP 10 7 8
  11 11 11
Delhi: 7      
Congress 7 1 3
BJP 0 6 4
  7 7 7
Goa:2      
Congress  1 1 1
BJP 1 1 1
  2 2 2
Gujarat: 26      
Congress 11 5 4
BJP 15 21 22
  26 26 26
In Gujarat, Congress:BJP vote share ratio was 44:47 in 2009 LS elections, which changed to 41:52 in July op poll and now it is 31:55, the largest gap of 24% between the two parties where they are head to head
Haryana: 10      
Congress 9 6 5
BJP 0 2 4
HJC 1 0 0
INLD 0 2 1
  10 10 10
Himachal: 4      
Congress 1 1 1
BJP 3 3 3
  4 4 4
J&K:6      
Congress 2 1 1
BJP 0 1 1
NC 3 2 2
PDP 0 1 1
Ind 1 1 1
  6 6 6
Jharkhand:14      
Congress 1 4 1
BJP 8 3 6
JMM 2 3 2
JVM 1 3 3
Ind 2 1 2
  14 14 14
Karnataka: 28      
Congress 6 17 13
BJP 19 8 12
JDS 3 3 3
  28 28 28
Kerala: 20      
Congress 13   4
Kerala Cong (Mani) 1   1
IUML 2   2
Left Front 4   13
  20 20 20
MP: 29      
Congress 12 12 6
BJP 16 16 23
BSP 1 1 0
  29 29 29
Maharashtra:48      
Congress 17 11 11
BJP 9 11 13
Shiv Sena 11 15 14
NCP 8 6 6
RPI (Athavale) 0 2 2
MNS 0 2  
  48 48 48
Manipur: 2      
Congress     2
  2 2 2
Meghalaya:2      
Congress 1   1
NPP 1   1
  2 2 2
Mizoram: 1      
Ind/Others     1
  1 1 1
Nagaland: 1      
NPF     1
  1 1 1
Odisha: 21      
Congress 6   9
BJD 14   12
CPI 1    
  21 21 21
Punjab: 13      
Congress 8   4
BJP 1   2
SAD 4   7
  13 13 13
Rajasthan: 25      
Congress 20 9 5
BJP 4 15 19
Ind 1 1 1
  25 25 25
Tamil Nadu: 39      
Congress 8 1 1
AIADMK 9 29 28
DMK 18 5 5
CPI 1 1 1
CPI (M) 1 0 0
MDMK 1 1 1
DMDK 0 1 2
VCK 1 1 1
  39 39 39
Tripura:2      
Congress     0
CPI (M)     2
  2 2 2
Uttar Pradesh: 80      
Congress 21 5 5
BJP 10 12 17
BSP 20 27 31
SP 23 33 25
RLD 5 3 2
Ind 1 0 0
  80 80 80
Uttarakhand: 5      
Congress 5   0
BJP 0   5
  5 5 5
West Bengal: 42      
Congress 6 2 3
BJP 1 0 0
TMC 19 22 23
Left Front 15 17 16
  42 42 42
Union Territories: 6      
Congress 1   1
BJP 0   4
Independents/Others 5   1
  6 6 6

 

POSTED BY Buzz ON Oct 16, 2013 AT 23:24 IST ,  Edited At: Oct 16, 2013 23:24 IST
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Daily Mail
Digression
55/D-139
Feb 13, 2014
10:24 PM

For what it is worth, Cvoter poll today predicts 202 seats for BJP and 88 seats for the Congress.

I think the number is right-with a few caveats. I doubt AAP would win 3 seats in Delhi and Congress would win 6 seats in AP and 1 seat in TN. Especially in TN, Congress would be lucky to get deposit anywhere.

Rakhal Chandra Ghosh
Tomball, United States
54/D-142
Oct 20, 2013
08:18 PM

kerala 20 seats, Punjab 13, Odisha 21, projection not given. Reason is in kerala BJP is going to win a few seats and in Punjab and Odisha kangres draws 0 and BJP increases its tally.In karnataka BJP will strengthen its position from 2009. In Bihar BJP will win over half the total seats. In MP BJP wins at least 20 seats.

dinesh chauksey
BHOPAL, India
53/D-40
Oct 19, 2013
09:23 AM

 everywere modi,he is become brand,rajdeep sardeasi, gosami,mehta etc are becomes dalals,its a shame day for us,our middle class seen them as 100 cr bollywood heros,wearing suits,speaking loudly in english,these dalals forget the ethics and social responsibilities of journalisam

sujith nair
pune, India
52/D-156
Oct 18, 2013
10:39 PM

 Factsonly,

That poll is conducted by AAP.

I know. According to Rajan Alexander this poll was conducted by the BJP. His logic is unimpeachable. There is no  way the BJP could possibly do better than the Con-gress unless they conduct the polls themselves.

Next week the Con-gress will disclose the results of their poll showing them winning 50+ seats in Delhi.

Bonita
Chennai, India
51/D-149
Oct 18, 2013
09:22 PM

 @Bonita

That poll is conducted by AAP. 

factsonly1
Vienna, Austria
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