Even as results declared on Thursday paved the way for the Congress in Meghalaya, the Nagaland People’s Front ( NPF) in Nagaland and the Left Front in Tripura to form governments in the three Northeastern states, the unexpected rout of the National People’s Party (NPP) of Purno Agitok Sangma in Meghalaya signalled like nothing else the winds of change sweeping the Northeast.
Fresh faces, younger and better educated candidates, promise of cleaner politics and specific promises seem to have blown away old loyalties and tribal considerations.
Sangma had never lost an election till last year. People from Garo Hills elected him nine times to the Assembly and the Lok Sabha. But luck ran out for the strongman from Meghalaya, former Lok Sabha speaker and union minister when he decided to contest the Presidential election last year against the UPA candidate Pranab Mukherjee. He lost the election and soon thereafter his daughter, Agatha, was dropped from the union council of ministers.
But the unfazed Mr Sangma was confident that he could leverage his national standing as a presidential candidate and become a kingmaker, if not the king, in his own state. Expelled by the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP), which remains a part of the UPA, for defying the party, the diminutive politician had hitched his bandwagon to the National People’s Party (NPP). Meghalaya NCP merged with the NPP.
Though not contesting himself, he campaigned tirelessly for the NPP, which put up 32 candidates. He hoped the party would win 15 or more seats, giving him the power to bargain. In the event, NPP managed to win just two seats. And even the strength of his former party, NCP, which had 15 MLAs in the outgoing Assembly, was reduced to two, leaving Sangma to lick his wounds. Even his son Conrad, leader of the opposition in the outgoing House, lost the election.
Meghalaya is a predominantly tribal state with 55 of its 60 Assembly seats reserved for tribals. And Sangma, a Garo tribal, made much of the fact that if only the Congress and the BJP had supported his claim, he could have become the first Garo President of the country.
But his ‘magic bus’ and the chopper he used for campaigning failed to create any magic though and his tribal constituents were evidently left cold by his calls to the clan. Sangma’s promotion of his children, James, Conrad and Agatha, might have put off the voters. Or they could have been swayed by promises to conduct social audit of all government programme by the Congress.
It could be too early to write off the astute politician. With Sangma hoping to harness support of “ 100 million tribals” in the country, the “little, big man” could yet stage a comeback of sorts. But for the time being, his eclipse in the state seems to be total. The Congress, despite allegedly beset by infighting and dogged by rebel candidates, appears to have done well by bagging 29 of the 60 seats.
In Nagaland too, voters seem to have favoured stability and continuity. For the first time in three elections, the Nagaland People’s Front (NPF) received a decisive mandate, freeing it from the compulsions of a coalition. The party had stitched a coalition, Democratic Alliance of Nagaland (DAN), after the last two elections with support from the BJP and the JD(U).
But by bagging as many as 38 out of the 60 seats in the Assembly this time, the NPF would no longer have to depend on either the BJP(1) or the JDU (1). The Congress tally has nosedived from 23 to 8.
The NPF campaigned on the plank of Naga nationalism and called for the emotional integration of the Nagas, acknowledging that the geographical or political integration of the Nagas was unlikely in the foreseeable future. The NPF victory is likely to increase pressure on New Delhi to conclude Naga Talks and put an end to the oldest living insurgency in the country.
But while Meghalaya broke the jinx by electing as many as four women to the Assembly, the Nagaland Assembly will have no woman representative once again.
Nagaland has had no woman legislator since 1961 when it was created. The only woman ever elected in Nagaland was Rano Shaiza to the Lok Sabha.
But only two women contested the election last month for a berth in the 60-member Assembly. And both lost. Even Meghalaya had a solitary woman member in the outgoing Assembly, the only one since the state was created in 1972. Representation of women in the Tripura Assembly has been only marginally higher.
Ironically, in both Nagaland and Meghalaya, women voters outnumbered the men. In both the states, women are at the forefront of both social and political activities. The number of working women is also quite high. And yet the Congress did not bother to field a single woman in Nagaland while fielding only six in Meghalaya.
Thank you to all those who have taken the trouble to read the article and share their thoughts. Out of the arguments made here, there are two that perhaps need answering. So here they go.
1. The first part of the article compares outcomes (relative percentages of population of the religions concerned) irrespective of the process that led to those outcomes - whether immigration, relatively faster population growth or conversions. This was for two reasons. One, to put the figure of 2.3 per cent in "numerical perspective", as the article itself explained. The second reason was that outcomes are ultimately what the crux of debate is about. The rest of the article in any case dealt with process - or conversions in this case, from both a contemporary and historical perspective.
2. Some commenters have tried to cast doubts on the reliability of Census 2001. Those who do this should bear in mind that Census 2001 was conducted by a BJP government. Considering the extreme importance that BJP gives to this issue, it would be reasonable to expect that IF it had perceived a problem with the methodology that was distorting the numbers, it would have fixed it. As the article mentioned, BJP or BJP-supported governments have been in power for 10 of the last 40 years, or about a quarter of the time, and the only reasonable conclusion one can arrive at is that any misreporting of numbers, real or perceived, would be marginal and hence, not of importance.
To all other arguments made, my answer is the following: Please read the article again, with particular focus on the quotations of Vivekananda and Monier Williams, and the history of the missionary efforts in Bengal and their outcome.
NE guys know that choosing fascism is no good. BJP is full of fascists and wants a bloody fascist to be the PM. The party who has not seen the sun in these states. Please don;t call it a national party, it does not deserve.
Sangma had grown too big and had monopolised the entire political establishment for his family,the people have shown him his place.Thank God.
As for Imrans blog,dont have prejudice when you judge or make a statement,be constructive.
Ok if you find BJP a party of fascists ,who in your opinions are gaurdians of secular India
Funny ...people forget what is being done by fellow co-religionist i Pak,Bangladesh,Afganistan TurkeySyria & have balls to call other facist......Have no qualms in opposing Israel who supports us for sake of religion ....really amused
This Imran is actually part of the RSS internet group - this is a known method. Someone with a Muslim name will say something abusive against the BJP-RSS and make it very easy for RSS torchbearers to win the debate.
Imran : Do not be afraid - whats you real name? Do not worry, I can vote for BJP too :-)
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