How Modi’s gameplan for ‘Mission 272’ is meeting resistance
As with every other controversy, supporters of Narendra Modi in the BJP are confident that the green shoots of rebellion—by senior leaders, old-timers and scramblers-after-tickets—will only impart momentum to Modi’s prime ministerial campaign. Some of them don’t even see it as rebellion; they dismiss public criticism of Modi by senior leaders as nothing more than murmurs. One insider—his loyalties no guessing game—puts it thus, “Rebellion by senior and old leaders is also an opportunity for Modi to re-establish and re-emphasise his position as a strong leader who can take seemingly cruel decisions for improving the party.”
Is the party bothered about public and media perception of Modi changing as a result of the strife becoming public? Apparently not. The logic is that Modi’s looming presence—a result no doubt of his high-volume propaganda—has made opinion-makers irrelevant. “He knows from where his votes will come and from where they won’t,” says a supporter. “When there’s no ambiguity about that, why should Modi bother about perception?”
As Modi goes full steam ahead with his campaign, the fire-fighting and handling questions about internal strife has been left to party president Rajnath Singh. Rajnath himself had a bit of embarrassment to handle: as he was trying to placate Jaswant Singh, who has decided to contest as an independent from Barmer after being denied a BJP ticket, Rajnath’s Twitter account threw up a poster showing him (instead of Modi) as the only face of the government should BJP win. This was explained away as a mistake: the poster was meant for his Lucknow campaign but uploaded by mistake by a junior karyakarta; it shouldn’t be taken as indicative of Rajnath’s prime ministerial aspiration.
The party’s seniormost dissenter, L.K. Advani, meanwhile, swung between possible candidature from a preferred Bhopal and his old constituency, Gandhinagar. He finally “gave in to the party’s wishes”, settling for Gandhinagar. And Sushma Swaraj—who openly criticised the party for again doing business with the mining scam-tainted B.S. Yediyurappa and B. Sriramulu—was ignored. The Modi camp did what it does best: brazen it out and ignore all dissent.
It seems to be working in part. EU leaders have broken their 10-year moratorium to re-engage with Modi. Many of them seem to be preparing for the possibility that he will be the next PM. The US, the last holdout, has also begun to engage with Modi: recently, American ambassador Nancy Powell travelled to Gujarat to meet him.
Modi’s falling out with Advani had as much to do with the patriarch’s interference in this process as with his unrequited ambition to have a go at prime ministership while keeping Modi boxed in in Gujarat. At various public meetings, Advani would miss no opportunity to link Modi with the riots. Advani’s attempt to shift from the Gandhinagar Lok Sabha seat to Bhopal was also seen as an attempt to keep the challenge to Modi’s prime ministerial ambition going. If Advani wins from Gandhinagar, the credit will not go to him but to Modi; moving to Bhopal, he might have projected Madhya Pradesh CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan as an equally capable leader. Unfortunately for Advani, the mood in the BJP is such that no leader dares to be seen impugning Modi’s authority.
But the bickering in the party seems to have its campaign managers worried that, with elections so close, it may not be able to present a picture of unity. “When party leaders fight publicly with polls at hand, it builds a situation that will help no one. Six months back, when Modi was elevated at the party’s national executive in Goa, many of us feared that more dissent may follow. The worst fears of the BJP—open infighting—seem to be coming true,” says a senior leader.
Some in the party say the infighting may not affect the BJP’s final tally, but making Modi the generalissimo of the campaign does throw up problems. In the face of decrees from the top, sources say, regional satraps are asserting their own decisions on ticket distribution in their areas of influence. They say that in states like Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan, “a large number of Lok Sabha tickets have been given to candidates purely based on loyalty to the regional satraps rather than winnability”. Leaders denied tickets are working overtime to ensure that the chosen candidate has a tough time. Some are actively trying to split BJP votes.
For many in the BJP, the growing disquiet is not just a generational battle for control but a clear pro-Modi versus anti-Modi divide, now out in the open. Says a senior leader, “There’s no doubt the party still has two camps, though most leaders have been forced to fall in line. That said, most leaders are getting increasingly uncomfortable at the way things are being done in the party, because they did not anticipate that they would be eclipsed by Modi even before the results are out or votes polled.”
In the cold Jaswant Singh in Barmer
Perhaps that’s why every disagreement in the central leadership of the party that could have been kept under wraps is being pushed into the public domain. Clearly, leaders do not want to avoid the public embarrassment of spats with the aim of causing a specific dent in Modi’s image. There are many in the party who believe that open dissent against Modi’s decisions on election management is an “attempt to damage Modi from within as much as possible”. The theory goes that a BJP under Modi with a smaller tally in the polls will not just keep the rest of the party leadership relevant in the party but also ensure that Modi is cut to size.
Meanwhile, even as the BJP rides out its ticket distribution woes, hours after Jaswant Singh was denied a ticket by his party, RSS sarsanghchalak Bhagwat, attending the relaunch of Sangh’s mouthpiece, the Organiser, said in Delhi that confrontation was inevitable where self-interest was involved, and dialogue was the only way forward. Evidently, the Sangh is not keen on abandoning its own pracharak midway through his election campaign.
So as the BJP struggles to shift the balance of power from the old guard to those aspiring to bring it to power after 10 years out of office, for the Sangh, the priorities are clear. Pushing Modi’s election campaign through its embedded cadre, just last week, the RSS instructed its workers to focus on local issues, emphasising that 2014 was no longer a national election but a micro-local election, where every seat counts. Given that scenario, a few upsets in the bigger picture can easily be ignored. It is with this larger gameplan in mind that the BJP hopes to go full-throttle into Elections 2014.
BJP-wallahs are true-blue Indians (It Doesn’t Seem Like Team Spirit in a Trippy Lane, Apr 7). They too will behave like the proverbial desi crab and pull down their fellow travellers. Jaswant Singh is the worst of the lot. He’s never had a following of any kind, was a spectacularly undistinguished foreign minister (cue his and Vajpayee’s craven surrender to terrorist demands in the IA hijacking) and finance minister.
Srinivas Ramdas Sunder, Austin, Texas
Jaswant Singh was no victim of any ideological purge. Had that been the case, he would have been discarded a long time ago. The patrician from Barmer was always an oddity, it’s remarkable that he survived on the front benches of a major political party for as long as he did. For there was always a section within the BJP that was impatient with his perceived affectations.
K.S. Jayatheertha, Bangalore
Thank you to all those who have taken the trouble to read the article and share their thoughts. Out of the arguments made here, there are two that perhaps need answering. So here they go.
1. The first part of the article compares outcomes (relative percentages of population of the religions concerned) irrespective of the process that led to those outcomes - whether immigration, relatively faster population growth or conversions. This was for two reasons. One, to put the figure of 2.3 per cent in "numerical perspective", as the article itself explained. The second reason was that outcomes are ultimately what the crux of debate is about. The rest of the article in any case dealt with process - or conversions in this case, from both a contemporary and historical perspective.
2. Some commenters have tried to cast doubts on the reliability of Census 2001. Those who do this should bear in mind that Census 2001 was conducted by a BJP government. Considering the extreme importance that BJP gives to this issue, it would be reasonable to expect that IF it had perceived a problem with the methodology that was distorting the numbers, it would have fixed it. As the article mentioned, BJP or BJP-supported governments have been in power for 10 of the last 40 years, or about a quarter of the time, and the only reasonable conclusion one can arrive at is that any misreporting of numbers, real or perceived, would be marginal and hence, not of importance.
To all other arguments made, my answer is the following: Please read the article again, with particular focus on the quotations of Vivekananda and Monier Williams, and the history of the missionary efforts in Bengal and their outcome.
BJP is like Pakistan; internal enemies are enough.
India cannot afford another 10 years of corrupt, divisive misgovernance by the dynasty party. We need a strong leader like NaMo that can silence China-Pak. He is the lesser of all evils and our only hope. We need at least 10 years of NaMo led governance. Assuming he keeps his promises of lowering corruption, bringing about transparency and accountability. The paid media houses like N_D_T_V, T0I, H_T and Getout-look are constantly printing divisive news about NaMo but readers are smart now. Paid news won't work this time.
BJP-wallahs are desis too. It is to be expected that they too will behave like the proverbial desi crab and pull down their fellows. God forbid that their fellow party-wallah may actually win.
Jaswant Singh is, of course, the worst of the lot. He has never had a popular following of any kind, and was lifted to victory by the hard work of others. He was also a spectacularly undistinguished foreign minister (cue his and Vajpayee's craven surrender to terrorists' random demands in the Indian Airlines hijacking case) and finance minister.
Whether or not the BJP wins, it would be great to see toads like Jaswant Singh get hammered into oblivion and tossed out of politics forever. At least the many other real toads and assorted slimy creatures in Indian politics do not garb themselves in a hypocritical mask of urbane respectability.
In Congress every thing is fine? No problem in party?
Or every one is afraid of first familiy?
We request one article praising the unity of Congress!!... Please....
I have never known so much love for BJP among Sickulars. If nothing else is done by Narendra Modi, his achievement for generating so much love for BJP should be lauded.
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