If Narendra Modi wins handsomely in Gujarat, does he automatically take over the BJP central leadership and become the party’s face for the prime ministership? The logic of coalition politics should ordinarily suggest: No, Modi cannot become the leader of the NDA. Yet the man’s personality is such it would be impossible for the BJP’s Delhi leaders to stand up to him.
By then, the hype around him would be hysterical. There is already no denying that he is the only BJP leader who the middle class and the parivar cadre respond to well. He has a national image and does well in opinion polls that raise the question of future PMs. Modi entered the BJP’s national executive in Surajkund last week like a king entering a durbar. President Nitin Gadkari, though, said the BJP would follow the Vajpayee model of development, a clear sign that the Sangh leadership would still like to contain Modi.
But they may not be able to if he gains momentum from a convincing state win. Step two for Modi involves taking charge in Delhi. He would like the BJP to view this as an exercise in the rebuilding of the party, in energising the cadre, in giving a face to the leadership.
But herein lies the rub. Given his track record in Gujarat, Modi has quite efficiently executed the ideological agendas of the Sangh parivar through his administration. And he has done so by demolishing all other structures/parallel forces like the VHP and RSS. Although no one opposes him openly any longer (as Vajpayee, Pramod Mahajan and to a lesser extent Sushma Swaraj once did), the autocratic persona does alarm.
In Gujarat, there is only him at the top of a pyramid consisting of the administration, cadres loyal to the man, and great support from the middle class and corporate world. The rest of the party and parivar are ciphers. The question that several national leaders ask is: how does an individual keep his/her self-respect with Modi? Anoint him PM-in-waiting and be reconciled to giving up the tradition of a collective leadership to a man who does things his own way and tolerates no opposition?
Much of what could unfold depends on imponderables. If the UPA-II boat steadies at the Centre and the establishment (comprising corporates, both Indian and foreign, plus the media) continues to treat the Congress as an essential ingredient of any future coalition, then Project Modi would not be seen as a necessary alternative. But should the destruction of UPA-II continue, then Modi will be posited as the strong Mr Fix-it leader and will get even greater corporate and media backing.
Were Modi to be tripped, then the real opposition would have to come not from the Delhi BJP leaders but from the CMs and state satraps. If they were to collectively gang up, then things may get difficult. But this too would depend on the national mood and narrative after the assembly polls this year.
By Saba Naqvi with Panini Anand
Other national party cuts a rather sorry figure these days. Petulance, plain lies and sense of entitlement has become the hallmark of the party.
Advani wailing against political untouchability is pathetic and quite a come down from the days of "Majestic Isolation". It is pretty illogical talking about it since JDU & SS is in alliance with it and SP and BSP have colluded with it in the past. Does it really expect Congress(I) to join as a Junior partner : )
B-team leaders like Jaitly are seeing conspiracy behind every corner.
One of the CM is continuing with his simple-minded circus. His supporters laps up every thing he dishes out.
" But this too would depend on the national mood and narrative after the assembly polls this year."
And assembly polls will have no bearing on the national mood. Congress lost every single election in 2008 only to win nationally in 2009.
Modi has a chance to become only if BJP manages 200+ seats. If BJP can do that and if that happens with extensive campaigning by Modi, then Modi will be the PM. There is nothing to stop him. Jaya will surely have no problem supporting Modi. Andhra is another state where Modi can snatch MPs. Both TRS and Naidu will have no problem with Modi.
If on the other hand, BJP does not reach 200 seats, they will never form a govt and the Modi is irrelevant.
Why has Outlook given up the game so early? In this time articles should be about how the race is close, how Congress is implementing a new strategy, how the ground game of Congress is making a difference..etc etc. Is it that bad?
BTW, what relevance does this article given the way Outlook and the media's thesis blew up after the UP elections? That election was supposed to be a game changer. Rahul Gandhi's future was supposed to depened on it. Rahul lost. Now does anyone seriously think he has no chance to become PM because of what happened in UP? Nobody even remembers the UP elections anymore.
THis is sheer laziness on the part of media. They have a template and use it in every election.
US Prez 's mother's video that has given a unique topic to indian TV media for debate with some gang of intellectual whores (male female both)- ' If a porn star's son can become the Prez of the US then why not a son of bargirl can become PM of India'.- Woudn't be a must watch program? TRP at all time high.
We have enough evidence to know what a control freak he is. The only thing that seems to propel him forward is the politics of hate that has raised its ugly head in India.
Dallas, United States
So do you think that we dont have about you guys??
"Kud ke Giruoon mein Jakake deko pehele..."
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