Going, going, still hanging. The options for UPA-II are fast running out. It’s only a matter of time before one or the other parties on whose mercy it now survives will give them the royal ditch. True, the ‘establishment’, influential sections of India Inc and media, may see a reforms-friendly Manmohan Singh regime as a more sound option than the political chaos the nation apparently stares at. But even their best efforts to talk up the regime or open backroom channels with regional parties are eventually doomed to failure because of the Congress’s waning popularity and plummeting stock as an alliance partner.
Take Mamata Banerjee’s concerns. We hear so much about her Muslim votebase. Surely, the events in Assam, where a Congress CM is seen as having taken a position against Bengali Muslims, would be a matter of concern to her? Add to that price rise and corruption and we can understand why she sees the national party as a liability. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar has positioned himself as a force that will eventually break with the BJP on the Modi question. Some imagine that this means shifting to the Congress, but that seems unrealistic. The more sound option for him would be to go it alone and shore up the Muslim vote through that gesture, and leave minority vote-dependent rivals like Laloo Yadav clutching at straws.
Mulayam and Mayawati have no love for the Congress—the withdrawal of CBI cases cannot be a lasting reason for bailing out the Delhi regime; both truly despise Congress traditions. They will help only to help themselves till they can actually trip the UPA at a time of their choosing. Ditto, DMK.
Indeed, the Congress today does not come through as an attractive option for any regional party. The NDA clicked because A.B. Vajpayee brought a plus factor to the regional table. At the time, the BJP had its own voteshare in Andhra, TN, even Bengal. UPA-I had two appealing leaders: Sonia Gandhi, post-‘sacrifice’, and a ‘clean’ Manmohan. There is now no halo, no image, no promised deliverance. Only an exhausting arithmetic of survival.
Saba Naqvi is political editor, Outlook; E-mail your columnist: saba AT outlookindia.com
[[Surely, the events in Assam, where a Congress CM is seen as having taken a position against Bengali Muslims, would be a matter of concern to her?]]
Nice sleight of words! Calling Bangaldeshi Muslims as Bengali Muslims might fool a few newbie readers here but those who are familiar with you as well as the Congress know what's happening in Assam and other parts of the country where Bangladeshi Muslims have proliferated.
Just because the Bangladeshi illegals share the same religion with you, they suddenly do not become Indians.
The analysis is hardly an unbiased one.The author weighs everything and each leader(!) on the so called "secular" scales. I do not remember Vajpayee doing anything to mollify minorities.His NDA coalition won enough seats to put together a working majority.That the Congress has been given a mandate in 2004, is due the NDA allies biting the dust, Having got used to the directionless UPA and the fractured NDA, India voted for UPA-II. And is now regreting it.To say the Mulayam, Nitish , Navin etc will wait for suitable chances in a wrll documented and trumpeted secret.The only litmue tset being their "secular" credentials. We must not forget the GOP's USP was also its minorityism. Look what is happening to it now.It is the fear of Modi that glues these hypocrites together.
It is clear that women authoresses taunt and tease much more effectively than their male counterparts. ( Another example is the perpetual whiner feminist, Arundhati ).
This quality endears them to write motivating articles, while never actually ( with very few exceptions ), taking to strong arm politics.
With this kind of effective tongue, its no wonder that feminism is miles ahead of male activism.
if outcome of political situation could be predicted than the political class would have aligned as per that long ..long ago! if media gives a spin to UPA2 as reform friendly...we all must be living in fool’s paradise.....lol! there is a serious fiscal imbalance ,if not corrected the rating agencies will rate it back to third world ratings....that’s the worry for UPA not as you want the readers to believe. Nitish if believes that he can pull the Muslim votes away from laloo and still manage the victory…it’s a tall order! The caste equations makes his task much more difficult and he has no alternative but to go with BJP……
Why all these dirty politicians are lined up against Modi? Why they are afraid of him even the BJP leaders? Oh man he is really some one to be brought in to power to see, what he can do to this corrupt politicians & beurocrats who is in a majority irrespective of their flag color. Or are they afraid of the exposure of their trade mark "SECULARISM"? Can you find any other place in the world where the minority rules the majority? What is the democrasy means actually, Majority ruled by minority?
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