Illustration by Sorit
opinion
The Inertia Of Motion
A generous UPA sustained growth, but built nothing of lasting value
economy: report card
UPA's well-intentioned efforts make a little difference—but cause & effect mismatch is wide
economy: report card
Well begun, then the UPA lost its way. And now, troubled times.
Pragya Singh, Lola Nayar
interview
The UPA government has to an extent put India's growth prospects at risk feels the ICRIER professor
Outlook
opinion
The UPA squandered the opportunity to deliver on good governance
Pratap Bhanu Mehta
economy: report card
Are you better off today than in 2004? Prices of many things we take for granted are up, while annual salary increases are a third of those five years ago. It is, for many, the morning after.
India is going through a most exciting transition. A confluence of good fortune on many fronts has created a range of opportunities for Indians to benefit from. There is the large and increasing population of working age, combined with low dependency. The monsoons have not failed for many years running. An ongoing electronic communication and IT revolution is making it possible for individuals, firms and countries to respond rapidly to changing circumstances. Then there is the recognition internationally that India is an important market to invest in, export to, and import from. And since the government had started a process of openness a decade and a half back, many of the markets that were missing in the pre-1991 era are working efficiently enough.

Given such conditions, how has this government been? Well, quite good on maintenance—and extremely poor on preparing, repairing, and creating. As inheritors of the 'India Shining' story, the UPA government did a great job of maintaining the sheen. The budget was (at least initially) kept somewhat in check, macro-economic management was decent and minor tinkering continued. Partly because of decent maintenance, India continued to sparkle—tax revenues were looking up like never before, investment spiralled like never before, and it seemed everyone in the world wanted to be in India. This was great fortune indeed, for it meant that the government was relatively flush with funds.

But did the government build great infrastructure beyond what was already in motion? Did it provide relief for the highly strained environment? Did it do something about meeting the educated manpower shortage—and tackling the poor quality of education in government schools and other institutions? It did none of this. Instead, it set the stage such that all governments will have to give hundreds of thousands of crores in schemes that will not build anything of lasting consequence. The UPA has been great in giving away money, and admittedly quite good at doling it out to all kinds of people—not just the rich, but the poor as well. But such lavish largesse does not make great countries.

Preparing for the future requires building infrastructure. The rural roads scheme was started during the nda regime—an indubitable fact, for it was not named Rajiv or Indira or Jawaharlal. Bharat Nirman was a non-starter. JNURM ended up being merely a transfer of funds—strengthening the internal working of urban local bodies just did not occur on a scale required. E-governance remained paper-bound, because the co-synchronous administrative reforms required for it to work were not thought through. Indian educational institutions cannot hire international faculty—and our doctoral programmes are in a shambles. On the environment front, water levels continue to fall, we continue to discharge tonnes of sewage into our rivers and keep on building coal plants while natural gas lies unused.

This government talked a lot, high-minded commissions were set up and provided very well thought out recommendations. But in the end, the government did zilch.

Repairing will be critical for restructuring the economy. Repairing on the educational front requires ensuring that our educational institutions start to work properly. Universities continue to teach content that is many decades old. Faculty rarely publishes and do not have adequate incentives to do so. Our government schools now have large attendance, but the teachers there are just not used to, or interested in, teaching. We feed children (thankfully with low leakages) in primary schools, but most drop out soon after. Our legal structure is extremely dated, our justice mechanism is unable to handle the load, and our police are still living in the age of the lathi The government's own internal administrative mechanism has no IT backend, and it is still run in the same way as in 1950.

What has this government created, where has it innovated? Well, it has maintained and created greater incentives to consume, not to save and invest. Prices of expensive commodities such as energy were deliberately kept low. Interest rates first went up steadily and then went down dramatically. It has created conditions whereby rich and poor alike have lower incentives to save and greater to consume. Large deficits have been created and will continue for some years in the future. In the current risk-averse environment, investors will tend to prefer low return-low risk saving options. And the government will borrow large amounts from investors to give it away for its various schemes.

How is it that such a phenomenally talented group achieved so little?




(The author heads Indicus Analytics, an economics research firm)
economy: report card
UPA's well-intentioned efforts make a little difference—but cause & effect mismatch is wide
economy: report card
Well begun, then the UPA lost its way. And now, troubled times.
Pragya Singh, Lola Nayar
interview
The UPA government has to an extent put India's growth prospects at risk feels the ICRIER professor
Outlook
opinion
The UPA squandered the opportunity to deliver on good governance
Pratap Bhanu Mehta
economy: report card
Are you better off today than in 2004? Prices of many things we take for granted are up, while annual salary increases are a third of those five years ago. It is, for many, the morning after.
 
Daily Mail
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HAVE YOUR SAY
Mar 05, 2009 12:00 AM
2
The answer is simple - tighten the belt and make all transactions transparent.

It is well known most of the welfare schemes of the governments are a mere eye wash and means to siphon out the funds using the name of Aam Aadmi. Instead of giving doles and freebies, create infrastructure and economic opportunities where everyone would gain good food, clothing, shelter, health, education, employment, savings and social security.

Even after 61 years of independence, we do not have a unique citizen ID. Most welfare schemes funds are siphoned out by the corrupt - politician, bureaucrat and middlemen in collusion. Instead of allowing this unchecked, introduce multi purpose Biometric Smart card linked to a single money account for every organization and individual and put all transactions transparent on the web.

India can become a developed nation in 5 years and eliminate poverty and achieve UN MDGs.
Kris Dev
Chennai, India
Feb 22, 2009 12:00 AM
1
Great article wish outlook could provide an answer :)
Anshul Gupta
Bangalore, India
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