The
Foreign Service bureaucracy is buzzing with excitement these days with the
prospect of a US Presidential visit. The almighty George Bush himself,
plenipotentiary Caesar of the world has deigned to honour us with a personal
visit. The US has been wooing us by inviting us (along with Brazil) to sit at
the high table at the G-8 summit. We are being lauded as an "emerging
superpower" and being tantalized with a seat at the Security Council. The US
government is prepared to concede to us the status of an overt nuclear power
and is willing to lift sanctions against supply of nuclear material. Of
course, in return for our agreeing to put our nuclear facilities under
International AERB supervision. We are at the threshold of a new era of a
close relationship with the US, some of our foreign policy analysts think. Who
knows, they say, we might even be admitted to NATO. Such is the enthusiasm for
entering the US fold that we are willing to give up our prospective
partnership with Iran and China for forming an Asian energy grid. The
replacement of Mani Shankar Aiyar by Murli Deora in the Ministry of Petroleum
is also a pointer in the same direction. Much of the English language media
too is clearly enthused by this prospect of India becoming at least the Asian
right hand of the US.
All
this is happening at a time when the US is led by the most viciously amoral
administration in living memory. The Bush Administration controlled by a neo-conservative cabal of Vice President Dick Cheney, Defence Secretary Rumsfeld,
Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice and the current World Bank President, Paul
Wolfowitz, has not only attacked and destroyed Iraq and Afghanistan, on false
pretexts and in gross violation of International law, it has violated or
withdrawn from a large number of International treaties including the Anti
Ballistic Missile treaty, the treaty to prevent the militarisation of space,
the UN Convention against torture, among others. These have seriously
compromised international law and order, and have undermined the security of
the entire world including the US. As Chomsky succinctly puts it, the US
policies in this regard have promoted US hegemony in the world at the expense
of Global security and indeed the US's own security
Preparations
are currently under way in the US and Israel to attack Iran, this time with
tactical nuclear weapons as well. Even the profuse use of depleted Uranium
shells in Iraq has released the radioactive yield of hundreds of nuclear
weapons, which will result in the slow genocide of millions of people over the
years. Michael Chossodovsky, a highly respected Canadian International policy
analyst says that he has seen US administration documents which point to this
nuclear attack on Iran being launched as early as March this year. Though Iran
is in full compliance with the Nuclear Non Proliferation treaty and is only
asserting its right to develop nuclear power, the pretext for the attack is
that Iran "harbours intentions of developing nuclear weapons". And it is
surely a coincidence that Iran has announced its intensions to stop trading
its oil in US dollars and shift to the Euro from March this year. This is
exactly what Saddam was about to do when the US attacked and took over Iraq.
Few
people know that the US economy today survives precariously on the twin
steroids of an oil trade in US dollars and the deposit of the Saudi money from
oil sales to the US in US banks and bonds, as well as the Chinese trade
surplus in US Bonds. From the manner in which the Iraqi economy has been
privatized after US occupation, the manner in which their oil production has
been taken over, and the manner in which Cheney's company, Halliburton, has
been allowed to make tens of billions from no bid contracts on Iraq's
"reconstruction", it is clear that no amount of destruction or human
misery will stop Bush, Cheney and Co. from lining their pockets (or those of
their friends) and increasing US hegemony in the world.
Apart
from this, the Bush Administration has also vigorously worked to undermine the
international as well as the domestic environment protection regime. To this
end, it has refused to sign the Kyoto protocol for reducing greenhouse gas
emissions, which are necessary for slowing down climate change. It has packed
domestic environmental regulatory authorities with lobbyists of oil and other
industries which need to be environmentally regulated. They have thus
dismantled many of the environmental rules and regulations and have now opened
up hitherto protected forest and wilderness areas for exploitation by the oil
and timber industries. With the dire forecasts that are now being made by
various climatologists around the world regarding the rate at which global
warming is proceeding and its devastating projected impacts, just these acts
of the Bush administration should be adequate for treating them as a rogue
regime. James Lovelock, a celebrated British scientist who had developed the
idea of Gaia (the earth as a living being) has recently reviewed the
scientific evidence on this in a recent book, "The revenge of Gaia", which
projects that the average rise of global temperatures by the turn of the
century will be 5-8 degrees Centigrade, which means that most of the earth
will become uninhabitable. The resulting upheavals will not only kill most
living species including most humans, it will spell the end of Civilisation.
Yet the Oilmen who run the Bush administration are not only not willing to do
anything to control oil consumption, and hence greenhouse gas emissions, they
are prepared to kill millions and destroy whole countries to get control of
the major oilfields around the world.
Apart
from this, the Bush Adminstration has committed every imaginable kind of crime
against humanity, from systematic and brutal torture of thousands of Iraqi,
Afghan and Arab prisoners, to detaining thousands of Arabs and Muslims for
years without trial in the US, to undermining the carefully built up framework
of Civil liberties in the US. It has systematically eroded the social security
and public health system in the US in the drive towards their privatization.
All this has caused enormous destitution and misery among millions of poor
Americans as well. Thus, even the domestic economic policies of the Bush Administration
have been designed to increase the economic hegemony of the
super rich, whom Bush and Cheney represent, at the expense of the poor. As the
Venezuelan president Chavez put it, in the World Social Forum meeting at
Caracas recently, there has never in human history been a more brutal and
rapacious regime than the present regime in the US.
And
yet our External affairs Ministry headed by the Prime Minister is panting with
excitement at the prospect of bringing us within the embrace of the US. All
this, despite the fact that all opinion polls show the US as about the most
despised nation in this country (in spite of what most of the English press
would like to have us believe). And despite the fact that the Left Front on
whose critical support this government is surviving, has unequivocally
declared its hostility to this alliance with the US. Even if we neglect the
immorality of it all, the fact is that our government is willing to sell out
the non aligned movement which Nehru had so carefully crafted; it is willing
to jeopardize our relationship with China, Pakistan, Iran and indeed the
entire Muslim world; indeed it is willing to risk the survival of the
government itself, in order to grasp the embrace of the US.
What
are the real reasons for this remarkable behaviour? We are told by the
mandarins of the external affairs ministry that morality is a concept that is
alien to realpolitik and hard nosed foreign policy; that foreign policy is and
must be governed by cold blooded National Interest. They say that our national
interest would be better served that by aligning ourselves with the only superpower
in the world, particularly when that superpower is willing recognise us as an
overt nuclear power and willing to allow us to sit on their high table. After
all, they tell us, the US can give us a lot more than all our neighbours, the
Muslim world and China put together. As an ally of the US, we buy our security
as well as our economic well being, goes the spin.
But
is the US a reliable ally? What is its track record in this regard? Will it
really help us if at any time it finds that its interests are better served by
aligning itself with China or again with Pakistan? After all, it was aligned
with Pakistan till yesterday, and even with Saddam during its war with Iran.
How many murderous dictators has it supported while it sheds crocodile tears
for democracy? In fact, India will be the first to be jettisoned the moment it
ceases to be useful to the US. It is already becoming evident that even the
nuclear deal with the US is only serving to sacrifice our nuclear autonomy and
make us dependant on the US for nuclear supplies.
And
how long will the US survive as an economic superpower? It has been living on
borrowed money for quite some time. It's external debt is already more than
50% of its GDP as Saudi oil money and China's trade surplus piles up in the
US banks. The US dollar is kept afloat today mainly by the oil trade in US
dollars. The US economy will tank if either China withdraws its money from the
US Banks, or Saudi Arabia stops depositing its oil money in US bonds, or even
if the oil trade goes off the dollar. Thus, even if even we assume that we get
something in the short run from the US, how long will it last? And we are
willing to do it at the expense of so many neighbors, long term friends and
principles. A Canadian scholar, James Eayrs, in his 1969 lectures "Right and
wrong in foreign policy" had very perceptively commented on the "slick
professional diplomat who prefers cleverness to good sense, and intellectuals
of the strategic community who speak glibly of realpolitik. It is as though
foreign offices have built into their basements some sort of low temperature
chamber, where fledging foreign service officers deposit their consciences on
recruitment, for redemption only on retirement."
But
it is not only or mainly a question of forsaking their moral conscience. It is
more importantly a matter of sacrificing long term interests for short term
gains, of confusing hegemony with self interest and thinking that
international politics is a zero sum game. For it is this kind of stupidly
facile thinking which believes that your adversary's loss must be your gain,
which allows such slick professional diplomats to strut around dreaming of
clever tactics of harming your adversary. That then passes for "professional
diplomacy", which pushes us to this kind of absurd posture, where we are
elated to cosy up with the most murderous and dangerous regime in living
memory. A regime, which as Chomsky says, has, while causing enormous loss of
life and suffering, undermined global security and its own security, while
seeking to increase its hegemony in the world.
I
however believe that in our country, even baser reasons underlie this tilt
towards the US. Put quite crudely and simply, those people who control foreign
policy in this country have been unable to get over their colonial hangover
and the awe of their erstwhile white masters. That is why, and not just out of
politeness, Manmohan Singh in his Oxford speech praised the British
Empire for having given us a great Civil Service, Police and Judiciary - the
very institutions which were created to serve the Empire and keep the natives
in submission. During Manmohan Singh's formative years, it was a matter of
great pride to be called to the Indian Civil Service for serving the Empire.
Today, it is the US Empire which has replaced the British Empire as the
overlords of the planet. It is the same kind of pride that we see in the minds
of the Foreign Service bureaucracy today when they find themselves called to
the high table by the current sole superpower. There is yet another
significant factor in this dynamics now. There are a large number of
International agencies controlled by the US, like the World Bank, IMF, ADB
etc. and also a large number of US trusts and foundations which are giving out
a large number of jobs, consultancies and assignments on enormous salaries and
fees, to a large number of our sitting and retired bureaucrats. Unfortunately
these are permitted by our government, but they have had an enormously
corrupting influence on the entire ruling establishment in this and in many
other third world countries. The lure of such jobs has created a huge vested
interest among the establishment for closer ties with the US. This tilt
towards the US is also prodded along by our English language media and even
our academia, who also receive liberal doses of advertisements, assignments,
travel grants and sometimes jobs from US corporations, trusts, foundations and
Universities. All this together has created an environment where our
government can dare to get in bed with the US and glibly tell us that it is
all realpolitik and National Interest.
Those
in charge of this government think that they can easily get away with this.
They have come to believe that the left front can only bark and will not bite;
that there is no political force that has the capacity to translate the
popular feelings against the US into something that can actually damage the
Congress Party politically. But the long term consequences of this decision to
enter the US orbit will be enormous. There cannot be a bigger political or
moral issue for this country. Perhaps the time has come for the Left Front to
call the government's bluff. Bush's visit will be an occasion for the
people of this country to express what they really think of him. He must be
made to feel the heat of the reception accorded to him by the people of this
country.
Prashant Bhushan is a public interest lawyer in the Supreme Court.